Back to Markets
DownUp
BoneOhioCTR<$100Down
G-Penis-Monster<$100UpUpDown
ohioismCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 67%
Total Value
$119.31
Combined PnL
-$107.43
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares300
Combined PnL-$182.34
Up3 traders
Total Value$119.31
Total Shares119
Combined PnL+$74.91
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 30.8¢ | $154.24 | — | -$154.24 | 50% 917-899 (1816) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 37.1¢ | $42.34 | $114 | +$71.66 | 61% 2461-1569 (4030) |
BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $12.9 | — | -$12.9 | 75% 563-190 (753) |
G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.3 | $4.82 | +$3.52 | 45% 744-919 (1663) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 39.1¢ | $35.8 | $0.49 | -$0.26 | 58% 1473-1061 (2534) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $9.9 | — | -$9.9 | 39% 547-873 (1420) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $5.3 | — | -$5.3 | 48% 745-806 (1551) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTRInvested
$154.24
Value
—
PnL
-$154.24
Record
50%
917-899 (1816)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eInvested
$42.34
Value
$114
PnL
+$71.66
Record
61%
2461-1569 (4030)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$12.9
Value
—
PnL
-$12.9
Record
75%
563-190 (753)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
$4.82
PnL
+$3.52
Record
45%
744-919 (1663)
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
$35.8
Value
$0.49
PnL
-$0.26
Record
58%
1473-1061 (2534)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
—
PnL
-$9.9
Record
39%
547-873 (1420)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.3
Value
—
PnL
-$5.3
Record
48%
745-806 (1551)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x9ef00869...54d55c
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794384000