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DownUp
ohioism<$100UpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$31
Combined PnL
-$21.69
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares69
Combined PnL-$28.22
Up2 traders
Total Value$31
Total Shares31
Combined PnL+$6.53
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $26.37 | — | -$26.37 | 48% 1027-1110 (2137) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $12.32 | $16 | +$3.68 | 62% 2389-1477 (3866) |
ohioism<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $12.15 | $15 | +$2.85 | 48% 708-758 (1466) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 58% 1397-994 (2391) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 39% 519-828 (1347) |
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$26.37
Value
—
PnL
-$26.37
Record
48%
1027-1110 (2137)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$12.32
Value
$16
PnL
+$3.68
Record
62%
2389-1477 (3866)
ohioism<$100Invested
$12.15
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.85
Record
48%
708-758 (1466)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
58%
1397-994 (2391)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
39%
519-828 (1347)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcb5ab542...c8b823
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794371400