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UpUpDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$86.18
Combined PnL
-$162.85
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares154
Combined PnL-$167.34
Down2 traders
Total Value$86.18
Total Shares86
Combined PnL+$4.5
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 85.1¢ | $119.5 | — | -$119.5 | 56% 77408-59804 (137212) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 86.5¢ | $45.42 | — | -$45.42 | 59% 3021-2113 (5134) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $79 | $79.8 | +$0.8 | 89% 29358-3557 (32915) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.2¢ | $2.42 | — | -$2.42 | 61% 46098-29272 (75370) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $2.68 | $6.38 | +$3.7 | 65% 114590-61630 (176220) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTRInvested
$119.5
Value
—
PnL
-$119.5
Record
56%
77408-59804 (137212)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$45.42
Value
—
PnL
-$45.42
Record
59%
3021-2113 (5134)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$79
Value
$79.8
PnL
+$0.8
Record
89%
29358-3557 (32915)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.42
Value
—
PnL
-$2.42
Record
61%
46098-29272 (75370)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$2.68
Value
$6.38
PnL
+$3.7
Record
65%
114590-61630 (176220)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x97929368...f9c856
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794013200