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DownUpUpUp
G-Penis-Monster<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$75.02
Combined PnL
$2.96
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$75.02
Total Shares75
Combined PnL+$17.22
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares47
Combined PnL-$14.26
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 63.9¢ | $53.19 | $70.22 | +$17.03 | 65% 112572-59423 (171995) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.2¢ | $9.61 | — | -$9.61 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.5¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 52% 91321-85769 (177090) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 58% 61090-44611 (105701) |
G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.61 | $4.8 | +$0.19 | 62% 44284-27268 (71552) |
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$53.19
Value
$70.22
PnL
+$17.03
Record
65%
112572-59423 (171995)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$9.61
Value
—
PnL
-$9.61
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
52%
91321-85769 (177090)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
58%
61090-44611 (105701)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.61
Value
$4.8
PnL
+$0.19
Record
62%
44284-27268 (71552)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdfba8aae...fb2a6c
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1793562300