Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Alexandra Shubladze β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Alexandra Shubladze

Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Liudmila Samsonova
Resolved Alexandra Shubladze. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Alexandra Shubladze. The smart money was right.
π
Won
34
Alexandra Shubladze 62%
17 arb excluded
$189.5K
$16.3K
Smart Money Signal
21 of 34 top traders (62%)17 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() RN1ARB<$100 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 62.5Β’ | $63.8K | $64.0K | +$183.33 | 53% 58869-51174 (110043) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 62.5Β’ | $40.0K | $64.0K | +$24.0K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 37.8Β’ | $23.8K | β | $-23.8K | |
LI LimousinARB<$100 | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 53.2Β’ | $22.3K | $20.0K | $-2.3K | 56% 915-719 (1634) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 39.6Β’ | $7.9K | $20.0K | +$12.1K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 53.2Β’ | $14.4K | β | $-14.4K | |
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 55.9Β’ | $21.8K | $20.0K | +$2.2K | 51% 4498-4367 (8865) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 55.9Β’ | $11.2K | $20.0K | +$10.3K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 57.4Β’ | $8.2K | β | $-8.1K | |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 64.3Β’ | $10.0K | $10.4K | +$363.42 | 52% 14106-12878 (26984) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 64.3Β’ | $6.7K | $10.4K | +$3.7K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 33.7Β’ | $3.3K | β | $-3.3K | |
0X 0xE71359d50Ea42c73bFf065ec47F418506A7aC9a0-1771230981470 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 66.2Β’ | $6.5K | $9.9K | +$3.3K | 71% 366-148 (514) |
NO NotJumpARB<$100 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 61Β’ | $8.4K | $8.0K | +$531.76 | 44% 10204-13244 (23448) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 61Β’ | $4.9K | $8.0K | +$3.0K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 33.1Β’ | $2.6K | β | $-2.5K | |
CA CandleHammerDrumsARB<$100 | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 40.1Β’ | $25.9K | $5.4K | +$469.44 | 52% 6698-6215 (12913) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 51.7Β’ | $2.8K | $5.4K | +$2.2K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 40.1Β’ | $3.8K | β | $-1.8K | |
MA MadridTimeARB<$100 | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 64.7Β’ | $10.1K | $3.3K | $-6.8K | 52% 808-754 (1562) |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 64.7Β’ | $8.2K | β | $-8.2K | |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 57Β’ | $1.9K | $3.3K | +$1.4K | |
DM dmoralezARB<$100 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 74.8Β’ | $9.0K | $6.0K | +$131.75 | 64% 203-116 (319) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 74.8Β’ | $4.5K | $6.0K | +$1.0K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 16.1Β’ | $908.56 | β | -$899.18 | |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 65.2Β’ | $6.1K | $4.8K | $-1.3K | 51% 23350-22134 (45484) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 65.2Β’ | $3.1K | $4.8K | +$1.7K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 46.8Β’ | $2.9K | β | $-2.9K | |
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 81.3Β’ | $5.5K | $5.2K | -$274.95 | 50% 20113-20444 (40557) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 81.3Β’ | $4.2K | $5.2K | +$977.64 | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 25.4Β’ | $1.3K | β | $-1.3K | |
VE VenusianARB<$100 | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 51.5Β’ | $5.4K | $5.0K | -$465.12 | 53% 898-794 (1692) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 43Β’ | $2.1K | $5.0K | +$3.2K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 51.5Β’ | $3.6K | β | $-3.6K | |
EU Eulhunter | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 79.8Β’ | $7.0K | $4.4K | -$42.67 | 55% 6044-5045 (11089) |
LI LightParadoxARB<$100 | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 55.7Β’ | $8.1K | $3.6K | -$197.07 | 53% 883-772 (1655) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 37Β’ | $1.3K | $3.6K | +$2.3K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 55.7Β’ | $2.5K | β | $-2.5K | |
MR MrDouche | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 47Β’ | $2.1K | $4.5K | +$2.4K | 82% 1702-379 (2081) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 38.7Β’ | $4.2K | β | $-4.5K | 47% 1285-1476 (2761) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 56.4Β’ | $4.5K | $3.2K | +$273.76 | 48% 14339-15840 (30179) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 56.4Β’ | $1.8K | $3.2K | +$1.5K | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 33.3Β’ | $1.0K | β | $-1.3K | |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 41Β’ | $1.2K | $2.9K | +$1.7K | 50% 4220-4184 (8404) |
0X 0xDd9D902e3Cdaf7eE29Eff1Dd2902DcB40741b730-1772597907584 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 42Β’ | $1.1K | $2.6K | +$1.5K | 54% 195-166 (361) |
![]() nigiri99 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 41Β’ | $649.85 | $1.6K | +$935.15 | 46% 8222-9595 (17817) |
BA Bagwell306 | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 39Β’ | $389.61 | $999 | +$609.39 | 57% 4136-3113 (7249) |
HI hi774c | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 40Β’ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$600 | 50% 4912-4827 (9739) |
TH thestingsnakeARB<$100 | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 68.4Β’ | $2.4K | $512.48 | -$901.5 | 60% 4206-2810 (7016) |
| β Alexandra Shubladze leg | Alexandra Shubladzeavg 74.7Β’ | $382.72 | $512.48 | +$129.71 | |
| β Liudmila Samsonova leg | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 68.4Β’ | $1.0K | β | $-1.0K | |
![]() 88MCTR | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 47.2Β’ | $971.05 | β | -$971.05 | 42% 806-1103 (1909) |
GA GamblingAddict12345CTR | Liudmila Samsonovaavg 59.9Β’ | $999.99 | β | -$999.99 | 51% 3986-3878 (7864) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$63,778.82
Value
$64.0K
PnL
+$183.33
Record
53%
58869-51174 (110043)
Both legs:
Invested
$22,260.4
Value
$20.0K
PnL
$-2.3K
Record
56%
915-719 (1634)
Both legs:
Invested
$21,820.25
Value
$20.0K
PnL
+$2.2K
Record
51%
4498-4367 (8865)
Both legs:
Invested
$10,000.8
Value
$10.4K
PnL
+$363.42
Record
52%
14106-12878 (26984)
Both legs:
Invested
$6,542.85
Value
$9.9K
PnL
+$3.3K
Record
71%
366-148 (514)
Invested
$8,424.51
Value
$8.0K
PnL
+$531.76
Record
44%
10204-13244 (23448)
Both legs:
Invested
$25,941.5
Value
$5.4K
PnL
+$469.44
Record
52%
6698-6215 (12913)
Both legs:
Invested
$10,108.19
Value
$3.3K
PnL
$-6.8K
Record
52%
808-754 (1562)
Both legs:
Invested
$9,042.83
Value
$6.0K
PnL
+$131.75
Record
64%
203-116 (319)
Both legs:
Invested
$6,077.71
Value
$4.8K
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
51%
23350-22134 (45484)
Both legs:
Invested
$5,501.03
Value
$5.2K
PnL
-$274.95
Record
50%
20113-20444 (40557)
Both legs:
Invested
$5,429.83
Value
$5.0K
PnL
-$465.12
Record
53%
898-794 (1692)
Both legs:
Invested
$6,954.05
Value
$4.4K
PnL
-$42.67
Record
55%
6044-5045 (11089)
Invested
$8,068.69
Value
$3.6K
PnL
-$197.07
Record
53%
883-772 (1655)
Both legs:
Invested
$2,115
Value
$4.5K
PnL
+$2.4K
Record
82%
1702-379 (2081)
Invested
$4,208.1
Value
β
PnL
$-4.5K
Record
47%
1285-1476 (2761)
Invested
$4,531.04
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$273.76
Record
48%
14339-15840 (30179)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,188.59
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
50%
4220-4184 (8404)
Invested
$1,110.81
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$1.5K
Record
54%
195-166 (361)
nigiri99Invested
$649.85
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$935.15
Record
46%
8222-9595 (17817)
Invested
$389.61
Value
$999
PnL
+$609.39
Record
57%
4136-3113 (7249)
Invested
$1,000
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$600
Record
50%
4912-4827 (9739)
Invested
$2,442.16
Value
$512.48
PnL
-$901.5
Record
60%
4206-2810 (7016)
Both legs:
88MCTRInvested
$971.05
Value
β
PnL
-$971.05
Record
42%
806-1103 (1909)
Invested
$999.99
Value
β
PnL
-$999.99
Record
51%
3986-3878 (7864)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

RN1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
Limousin
ARBArbitrage β excluded
6512395314597884
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xE71359d50Ea42c73bFf065ec47F418506A7aC9a0-1771230981470
Alexandra Shubladze β $9.9K
NotJump
ARBArbitrage β excluded
CandleHammerDrums
ARBArbitrage β excluded
MadridTime
ARBArbitrage β excluded
dmoralez
ARBArbitrage β excluded
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded