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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Pegula vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5

Resolved Under. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Over 38%

Total Value

$381.27

Combined PnL

-$471.06

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,140
Combined PnL-$624.57
Under5 traders
Total Value$381.27
Total Shares381
Combined PnL+$153.5
Over — 44%Under — 56%
SL
SlickRick123CTR
Over

Invested

$371.81

Value

—

PnL

-$371.81

Record

35%

396-732 (1128)

VeryLucky888
Under

Invested

$102.54

Value

$183.67

PnL

+$90.37

Record

54%

1497-1295 (2792)

poshposhCTR
Over

Invested

$208.56

Value

—

PnL

-$208.56

Record

49%

1219-1281 (2500)

0X
0x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1<$100
Under

Invested

$48.11

Value

$94.33

PnL

+$46.22

Record

4%

17-391 (408)

0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100
Under

Invested

$39.4

Value

$39.8

PnL

+$0.4

Record

99%

513-7 (520)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
Over

Invested

$44.2

Value

—

PnL

-$44.2

Record

38%

1138-1890 (3028)

0X
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382<$100
Under

Invested

$16.48

Value

$32.96

PnL

+$16.48

Record

47%

319-356 (675)

PV
pvc975<$100
Under

Invested

$30.47

Value

$30.5

PnL

+$0.03

Record

98%

419-8 (427)

OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR
Over

Invested

$200

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

136-62 (198)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4b5f150c...74d2eb
Slug
wta-pegula-andreev-2026-11-14-match-total-21pt5

Traders in this Market

SL

SlickRick123

CTR

Over — $0

-$371.81

VeryLucky888

Under — $183.67

+$90.37

poshposh

CTR

Over — $0

-$208.56
0X

0x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1

Under — $94.33

+$46.22
0X

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Under — $39.8

+$0.4
TO

topdogbigboi

CTR

Over — $0

-$44.2
0X

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

Under — $32.96

+$16.48
PV

pvc975

Under — $30.5

+$0.03
OV

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

CTR

Over — $0

+$0
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