Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Siniakova/Townsend — but Errani/Paolini won instead.

WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Errani/Paolini

Resolved Errani/Paolini. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Siniakova/Townsend. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Siniakova/Townsend 80%

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

$-13.2K

Siniakova/Townsend

4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Siniakova/Townsend0%

Errani/Paolini100%

Siniakova/Townsend4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares12,641

Combined PnL$-13.2K

Errani/Paolini1 trader

Total Value$1.4K

Total Shares1,373

Combined PnL+$2.06

Siniakova/Townsend — 80%Errani/Paolini — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Siniakova/Townsendavg 71¢	$930.78	—	$-6.5K	52% 48799-45780 (94579)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Siniakova/Townsendavg 71.9¢	$5.7K	—	$-5.7K	46% 2193-2526 (4719)
LO looppau	Errani/Paoliniavg 99.9¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$2.06	99% 16112-134 (16246)
machinelearnedCTR	Siniakova/Townsendavg 67¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.1K	54% 10232-8712 (18944)
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100	Siniakova/Townsendavg 69¢	$2.23	—	-$2.61	53% 3096-2705 (5801)