Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was No β and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Sheffield United LFC win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
No 80%
1 arb excluded
$361.1
$37.48
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU LuckyLoo | Noavg 96.3Β’ | $111.4 | $115.68 | +$4.28 | 36% 513-930 (1443) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Noavg 78.3Β’ | $78.51 | $65.59 | -$12.92 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
| β No leg | Noavg 78.3Β’ | $51.37 | $65.59 | +$14.22 | |
| β Yes leg | Yesavg 21.9Β’ | $27.14 | β | -$27.14 | |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 79.6Β’ | $65.91 | $82.31 | +$16.4 | 53% 2235-2015 (4250) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Noavg 79Β’ | $63.2 | $80 | +$16.8 | 55% 532-434 (966) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 79Β’ | $13.84 | $17.52 | +$3.68 | 37% 1048-1799 (2847) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21Β’ | $3.68 | β | -$3.68 | 42% 1054-1470 (2524) |
Invested
$111.4
Value
$115.68
PnL
+$4.28
Record
36%
513-930 (1443)
Invested
$78.51
Value
$65.59
PnL
-$12.92
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
Both legs:
Invested
$65.91
Value
$82.31
PnL
+$16.4
Record
53%
2235-2015 (4250)
Invested
$63.2
Value
$80
PnL
+$16.8
Record
55%
532-434 (966)
Invested
$13.84
Value
$17.52
PnL
+$3.68
Record
37%
1048-1799 (2847)
Invested
$3.68
Value
β
PnL
-$3.68
Record
42%
1054-1470 (2524)