Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Under 50%
1 arb excluded
$5.1K
$2.1K
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 45.5Β’ | $2.8K | $4.9K | +$2.1K | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 37.6Β’ | $392.34 | $217.81 | -$174.53 | 53% 2094-1845 (3939) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 37.6Β’ | $354.88 | β | -$354.88 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 17.2Β’ | $37.47 | $217.81 | +$180.34 | |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 48Β’ | $59.22 | β | -$59.22 | 55% 5370-4319 (9689) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Underavg 24Β’ | $3.94 | $16.42 | +$12.48 | 36% 953-1669 (2622) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 74Β’ | $11.1 | $15 | +$3.9 | 48% 2091-2257 (4348) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 33Β’ | $7.7 | β | -$7.7 | 37% 972-1637 (2609) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 83Β’ | $1.9 | β | -$1.9 | 46% 2679-3158 (5837) |
Invested
$2,776.2
Value
$4.9K
PnL
+$2.1K
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
Invested
$392.34
Value
$217.81
PnL
-$174.53
Record
53%
2094-1845 (3939)
Both legs:
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$59.22
Value
β
PnL
-$59.22
Record
55%
5370-4319 (9689)
Invested
$3.94
Value
$16.42
PnL
+$12.48
Record
36%
953-1669 (2622)
Invested
$11.1
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.9
Record
48%
2091-2257 (4348)
Invested
$7.7
Value
β
PnL
-$7.7
Record
37%
972-1637 (2609)
Invested
$1.9
Value
β
PnL
-$1.9
Record
46%
2679-3158 (5837)