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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $16.5M and $18M?

Resolved No. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$89.67

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,342
Combined PnL-$89.67
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 78%No — 22%
balthazarCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

21044-13396 (34440)

VA
Vale54holi<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

29%

187-463 (650)

CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6516-5727 (12243)

GH
ghorrock<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

13663-10453 (24116)

0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4419-9499 (13918)

0X
0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.42

Value

—

PnL

-$1.42

Record

79%

328-86 (414)

XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$5.28

Value

—

PnL

-$5.28

Record

36%

15393-27456 (42849)

0X
0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793eCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$81

Value

—

PnL

-$81

Record

52%

298-272 (570)

NostdamCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$3.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.97

Record

54%

1427-1223 (2650)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x86ad8f4f...61a56a
Slug
will-you-can-see-everything-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-between-16-5m-and-18m-20261025

Traders in this Market

balthazar

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
VA

Vale54holi

No — $0

+$0
CB

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
GH

ghorrock

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
0X

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.42
XT

xtxpleasecallme

CTR

Yes — $0

-$5.28
0X

0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e

CTR

Yes — $0

-$81

Nostdam

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.97
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