Back to Markets
balthazarCTR<$100YesNoYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $15M and $16.5M?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$0.2
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares161
Combined PnL-$0.2
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 80%No — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21044-13396 (34440) |
VA Vale54holi<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 29% 187-463 (650) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4419-9499 (13918) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15393-27456 (42849) |
0X 0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793eCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.4¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 52% 298-272 (570) |
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21044-13396 (34440)
VA
Vale54holi<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
29%
187-463 (650)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4419-9499 (13918)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15393-27456 (42849)
0X
0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793eCTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
52%
298-272 (570)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdfa8fa76...d8408d
Slug
will-you-can-see-everything-2nd-weekend-box-office-be-between-15m-and-16-5m-20261025