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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Yashar win 24% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

No 20%

Total Value

$418

Combined PnL

-$10.82

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 14 top traders (29%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No4 traders

Total Value$418

Total Shares418

Combined PnL+$40.8

Yes10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares310

Combined PnL-$51.62

No — 29%Yes — 71%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
vinii	Noavg 90.2¢	$418	$418	+$40.8	73% 2838-1049 (3887)
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100	Yesavg 16.7¢	$26.67	—	-$26.67	30% 2198-5129 (7327)
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100	Yesavg 16.7¢	$11.38	—	-$11.38	16% 247-1265 (1512)
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100	Yesavg 16.7¢	$10.55	—	-$10.55	37% 764-1311 (2075)
VE VerilyWinninglyCTR<$100	Yesavg 16.7¢	$3.02	—	-$3.02	17% 221-1074 (1295)
Lucerys<$100	Noavg 91¢	—	—	+$0	79% 10771-2805 (13576)
QW qwen300.fund<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	—	—	+$0	57% 8723-6609 (15332)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 8.8¢	—	—	+$0	35% 17002-31476 (48478)
GR graynotebook19CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	62% 13070-7862 (20932)
GO god83743894CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	49% 9121-9684 (18805)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.7¢	—	—	+$0	28% 5995-15779 (21774)
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	55% 5915-4904 (10819)
LU luciebot<$100	Noavg 98.7¢	—	—	+$0	31% 1953-4401 (6354)
IstarothCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	16% 403-2040 (2443)

Invested

$418

Value

$418

PnL

+$40.8

Record

73%

2838-1049 (3887)

SpringlyFawlCTR<$100

Invested

$26.67

Value

—

PnL

-$26.67

Record

30%

2198-5129 (7327)

SulkingCryptoCTR<$100

Invested

$11.38

Value

—

PnL

-$11.38

Record

16%

247-1265 (1512)

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100

Invested

$10.55

Value

—

PnL

-$10.55

Record

37%

764-1311 (2075)

VerilyWinninglyCTR<$100

Invested

$3.02

Value

—

PnL

-$3.02

Record

17%

221-1074 (1295)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

79%

10771-2805 (13576)

qwen300.fund<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

8723-6609 (15332)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

17002-31476 (48478)

graynotebook19CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

13070-7862 (20932)

god83743894CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

9121-9684 (18805)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

28%

5995-15779 (21774)

0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

5915-4904 (10819)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

31%

1953-4401 (6354)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

16%

403-2040 (2443)

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 14 top traders (29%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa4c89519...0e7cc1

Slug

will-yashar-win-24-percent-or-more-of-the-vote-in-the-2026-knesset-elections

Traders in this Market

vinii

No — $418

SpringlyFawl

Yes — $0

SulkingCrypto

Yes — $0

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

Yes — $0

VerilyWinningly

Yes — $0

Lucerys

No — $0

qwen300.fund

No — $0

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

graynotebook19

Yes — $0

god83743894

Yes — $0

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