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noreasapaNoNoNoNoYesYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$3.8K
Combined PnL
$6.49
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$3.8K
Total Shares3,821
Combined PnL+$6.49
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
noreasapa | Noavg 99.9¢ | $3.2K | $3.2K | +$3.24 | 91% 3581-335 (3916) |
ZX zxc368 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $199.6 | $200 | +$0.4 | 98% 13075-209 (13284) |
KO korda77 | Noavg 99¢ | $189.65 | $191.57 | +$1.92 | 52% 4970-4612 (9582) |
ME merod | Noavg 99.5¢ | $184.08 | $185 | +$0.93 | 52% 2463-2294 (4757) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4438-9527 (13965) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15634-27552 (43186) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3806-17233 (21039) |
noreasapaInvested
$3,241.66
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$3.24
Record
91%
3581-335 (3916)
ZX
zxc368Invested
$199.6
Value
$200
PnL
+$0.4
Record
98%
13075-209 (13284)
KO
korda77Invested
$189.65
Value
$191.57
PnL
+$1.92
Record
52%
4970-4612 (9582)
ME
merodInvested
$184.08
Value
$185
PnL
+$0.93
Record
52%
2463-2294 (4757)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4438-9527 (13965)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15634-27552 (43186)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3806-17233 (21039)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaf36880f...d4910f
Slug
will-xiaomi-be-the-third-best-chinese-ai-company-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194841731