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No
PippiTraderNoYesYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 Week of October 26 2026?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
-$29.63
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,139
Combined PnL+$48.09
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares205
Combined PnL-$77.72
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AV Avamax | Noavg 99¢ | $810 | $810 | +$8.1 | 79% 382-99 (481) |
PippiTrader | Noavg 87.8¢ | $289.06 | $329.05 | +$39.99 | 59% 273-188 (461) |
AL Albert 1953CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1¢ | $1.95 | — | -$77.59 | 50% 1073-1082 (2155) |
TE test456y78CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.2¢ | $0.12 | — | -$0.12 | 39% 79-124 (203) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 535-2427 (2962) |
AV
AvamaxInvested
$810
Value
$810
PnL
+$8.1
Record
79%
382-99 (481)
PippiTraderInvested
$289.06
Value
$329.05
PnL
+$39.99
Record
59%
273-188 (461)
AL
Albert 1953CTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$77.59
Record
50%
1073-1082 (2155)
TE
test456y78CTR<$100Invested
$0.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.12
Record
39%
79-124 (203)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
535-2427 (2962)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xee8d1ba6...69b756
Slug
will-xauusd-dip-to-3800-by-october-26-2026