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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

No 40%

Total Value

$855.43

Combined PnL

$62.79

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders

Total Value$855.43

Total Shares855

Combined PnL+$91.38

Yes5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,199

Combined PnL-$28.6

No — 50%Yes — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HY hymolu	Noavg 81¢	$405.46	$493.23	+$87.76	81% 26-6 (32)
CoinTrick	Noavg 99¢	$358.58	$362.2	+$3.62	98% 3157-75 (3232)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 4.6¢	$26.33	—	+$10.82	36% 15094-27222 (42316)
perfectnostalgiaCTR<$100	Yesavg 20.3¢	$26.76	—	-$26.76	55% 336-270 (606)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100	Yesavg 3¢	$12.66	—	-$12.66	18% 519-2318 (2837)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 10.8¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4361-9392 (13753)
KO korda77<$100	Noavg 82¢	—	—	+$0	52% 4946-4559 (9505)
EL Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100	Yesavg 20¢	—	—	+$0	77% 11159-3408 (14567)
ME merod<$100	Noavg 81.5¢	—	—	+$0	52% 2443-2243 (4686)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 93.6¢	—	—	+$0	61% 20834-13247 (34081)

Invested

$405.46

Value

$493.23

PnL

+$87.76

Record

81%

26-6 (32)

Invested

$358.58

Value

$362.2

PnL

+$3.62

Record

98%

3157-75 (3232)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

$26.33

Value

—

PnL

+$10.82

Record

36%

15094-27222 (42316)

perfectnostalgiaCTR<$100

Invested

$26.76

Value

—

PnL

-$26.76

Record

55%

336-270 (606)

LornaPredictsCTR<$100

Invested

$12.66

Value

—

PnL

-$12.66

Record

18%

519-2318 (2837)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4361-9392 (13753)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

4946-4559 (9505)

Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

11159-3408 (14567)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

2443-2243 (4686)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20834-13247 (34081)

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe4f31ce9...2ee6b2

Slug

will-us-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026-be-between-2pt0-and-2pt5-20260730144539772

Traders in this Market

hymolu

No — $493.23

CoinTrick

No — $362.2

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

perfectnostalgia

Yes — $0

LornaPredicts

Yes — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

korda77

No — $0

Elias.Thornwell

Yes — $0

merod

No — $0

balthazar

No — $0

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