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balthazarCTR<$100YesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the US national average gas price be between $3.8500 and $3.8599 on November 15?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$33.76
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares108
Combined PnL-$33.76
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 42% 5242-7255 (12497) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 38% 3837-6288 (10125) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $15.59 | — | -$13.72 | 28% 3327-8522 (11849) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $16.25 | — | -$4.81 | 23% 812-2703 (3515) |
DO donthackmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $4.23 | — | -$4.23 | 26% 55-157 (212) |
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
42%
5242-7255 (12497)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
38%
3837-6288 (10125)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$15.59
Value
—
PnL
-$13.72
Record
28%
3327-8522 (11849)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$16.25
Value
—
PnL
-$4.81
Record
23%
812-2703 (3515)
DO
donthackmeCTR<$100Invested
$4.23
Value
—
PnL
-$4.23
Record
26%
55-157 (212)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6bc58817...10344a
Slug
will-us-gas-price-be-between-3pt85-and-3pt86-on-november-15-2026