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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolved Yes. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

No 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$172.75

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 13 top traders (77%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares313

Combined PnL+$100.01

Yes3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$72.74

No — 77%Yes — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
2B9SCTR<$100	Noavg 6.2¢	$19.33	—	-$19.33	18% 4067-19070 (23137)
E4 e46m3<$100	Yesavg 20¢	$18.41	—	+$71.26	72% 12221-4831 (17052)
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033CTR<$100	Noavg 1.7¢	$1.08	—	+$4.23	49% 5512-5654 (11166)
balthazarCTR<$100	Noavg 1.1¢	—	—	+$0	55% 26056-21461 (47517)
LucerysCTR<$100	Noavg 9.3¢	$6.9	—	+$52.3	79% 10651-2799 (13450)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Noavg 4.5¢	—	—	+$0	35% 16978-31455 (48433)
GR graynotebook19CTR<$100	Noavg 1.1¢	—	—	+$63.09	63% 13059-7813 (20872)
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100	Noavg 4.7¢	$0.94	—	-$0.28	30% 1409-3213 (4622)
QU quietparcel<$100	Yesavg 24.6¢	$0.49	—	+$1.48	53% 8972-8031 (17003)
GO god83743894CTR<$100	Noavg 1.6¢	—	—	+$0	49% 9109-9642 (18751)
MI mildwindow27CTR<$100	Noavg 1.1¢	$0.46	—	+$0	49% 7501-7830 (15331)
SM smallreceiptCTR<$100	Noavg 1.1¢	—	—	+$0	50% 7869-7957 (15826)
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100	Yesavg 99¢	—	—	+$0	77% 11700-3588 (15288)

Invested

$19.33

Value

—

PnL

-$19.33

Record

18%

4067-19070 (23137)

Invested

$18.41

Value

—

PnL

+$71.26

Record

72%

12221-4831 (17052)

0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033CTR<$100

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

+$4.23

Record

49%

5512-5654 (11166)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

26056-21461 (47517)

LucerysCTR<$100

Invested

$6.9

Value

—

PnL

+$52.3

Record

79%

10651-2799 (13450)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

16978-31455 (48433)

graynotebook19CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$63.09

Record

63%

13059-7813 (20872)

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100

Invested

$0.94

Value

—

PnL

-$0.28

Record

30%

1409-3213 (4622)

quietparcel<$100

Invested

$0.49

Value

—

PnL

+$1.48

Record

53%

8972-8031 (17003)

god83743894CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

9109-9642 (18751)

mildwindow27CTR<$100

Invested

$0.46

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

7501-7830 (15331)

smallreceiptCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

7869-7957 (15826)

Elias.Thornwell<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

11700-3588 (15288)

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 13 top traders (77%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xdd630335...3ed243

Slug

will-unity-win-less-than-0pt5-percent-of-the-vote-in-the-2026-knesset-elections

Traders in this Market

2B9S

No — $0

e46m3

Yes — $0

0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033

No — $0

balthazar

No — $0

Lucerys

No — $0

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

graynotebook19

No — $0

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F

No — $0

quietparcel

Yes — $0

god83743894

No — $0

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