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CoinTrickYesNoYes
balthazarCTR<$100NoYesNo
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100No
Istaroth<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 67%
Total Value
$479.62
Combined PnL
$82.35
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$479.62
Total Shares480
Combined PnL+$163.98
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares217
Combined PnL-$81.64
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick | Yesavg 99.5¢ | $302.24 | $434.3 | +$132.06 | 98% 3113-75 (3188) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Noavg 75.5¢ | $81.64 | — | -$81.64 | 36% 14901-27010 (41911) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100 | Yesavg 29.6¢ | $13.4 | $45.32 | +$31.92 | 42% 137-189 (326) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 60¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20733-13148 (33881) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Yesavg 25.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4342-9342 (13684) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Noavg 93¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4921-4521 (9442) |
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 15238-11765 (27003) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 21.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 25% 282-835 (1117) |
CoinTrickInvested
$302.24
Value
$434.3
PnL
+$132.06
Record
98%
3113-75 (3188)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$81.64
Value
—
PnL
-$81.64
Record
36%
14901-27010 (41911)
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100Invested
$13.4
Value
$45.32
PnL
+$31.92
Record
42%
137-189 (326)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20733-13148 (33881)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4342-9342 (13684)
KO
korda77CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4921-4521 (9442)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
15238-11765 (27003)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
282-835 (1117)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6ea68ca7...9455cd
Slug
will-two-people-dissent-the-october-fed-decision-2026