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clazzy1NoNo
balthazar<$100No
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on October 30, 2026?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$125.5
Combined PnL
$3.93
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$125.5
Total Shares126
Combined PnL+$3.93
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
clazzy1 | Noavg 96.7¢ | $120.5 | $120.5 | +$3.93 | 62% 385-240 (625) |
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $5 | $5 | -$0 | 77% 259-76 (335) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21044-13396 (34440) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 535-2427 (2962) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 82.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15393-27456 (42849) |
clazzy1Invested
$120.5
Value
$120.5
PnL
+$3.93
Record
62%
385-240 (625)
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e<$100Invested
$5
Value
$5
PnL
-$0
Record
77%
259-76 (335)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21044-13396 (34440)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
535-2427 (2962)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15393-27456 (42849)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbc47a342...6dc294
Slug
will-trumps-approval-rating-be-less-than-37pt5-on-october-30-2026