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CoinTrick<$100YesNo
balthazarCTR<$100NoNo
LornaPredictsCTR<$100No
Istaroth<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on October 30, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 50%
Total Value
$37.16
Combined PnL
-$128.13
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$37.16
Total Shares37
Combined PnL+$0.21
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares133
Combined PnL-$128.34
Yes — 33%No — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick<$100 | Yesavg 99.4¢ | $37.16 | $37.16 | +$0.21 | 97% 3234-83 (3317) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Noavg 62.4¢ | $414.25 | — | -$128.34 | 36% 15393-27456 (42849) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21044-13396 (34440) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Noavg 13¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4419-9499 (13918) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Noavg 12.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 535-2427 (2962) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 30.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 308-1212 (1520) |
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$37.16
Value
$37.16
PnL
+$0.21
Record
97%
3234-83 (3317)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTRInvested
$414.25
Value
—
PnL
-$128.34
Record
36%
15393-27456 (42849)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21044-13396 (34440)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4419-9499 (13918)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
535-2427 (2962)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
308-1212 (1520)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x00888c52...b2d5ea
Slug
will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-38pt0-and-38pt4-on-october-30-2026