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clazzy1<$100No
balthazar<$100No
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
IstarothCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 30, 2026?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
$5.4
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$20
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$5.4
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
clazzy1<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $14.6 | $20 | +$5.4 | 62% 385-240 (625) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21044-13396 (34440) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 535-2427 (2962) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 18.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 308-1212 (1520) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15393-27456 (42849) |
clazzy1<$100Invested
$14.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.4
Record
62%
385-240 (625)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21044-13396 (34440)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
535-2427 (2962)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
308-1212 (1520)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15393-27456 (42849)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1bbf1e15...cd6a91
Slug
will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-37pt5-and-37pt9-on-october-30-2026