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CosmicCedarNo
BlondBeastCTRYes
-Dominus-CTR<$100YesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$506.74
Combined PnL
-$395.79
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$506.74
Total Shares507
Combined PnL+$53.86
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares570
Combined PnL-$449.65
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CosmicCedar | Noavg 98¢ | $496.61 | $506.74 | +$10.13 | 60% 783-525 (1308) |
BlondBeastCTR | Yesavg 58.5¢ | $467.58 | — | -$449.47 | 70% 780-342 (1122) |
-Dominus-CTR<$100 | Yesavg 62.8¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.18 | 69% 345-154 (499) |
BA badatthis | Noavg 46.6¢ | $357.48 | $0 | +$43.73 | 65% 2218-1179 (3397) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 64¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15210-27314 (42524) |
CosmicCedarInvested
$496.61
Value
$506.74
PnL
+$10.13
Record
60%
783-525 (1308)
BlondBeastCTRInvested
$467.58
Value
—
PnL
-$449.47
Record
70%
780-342 (1122)
-Dominus-CTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.18
Record
69%
345-154 (499)
BA
badatthisInvested
$357.48
Value
$0
PnL
+$43.73
Record
65%
2218-1179 (3397)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15210-27314 (42524)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf8065553...6e1b7d
Slug
will-trump-say-transgender-during-his-midterm-rally-in-south-carolina-october-29-sc