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No
Haradwaith<$100No
HoshinoAI<$100No
CosmicCedarNo
QuantDeLaFugaziCTR<$100Yes
2B9S<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during "60 Minutes" extended interview?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$5.68
Combined PnL
$2.92
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$5.68
Total Shares6
Combined PnL+$2.92
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SH shiifoo<$100 | Noavg 39.6¢ | $4.79 | $5.68 | +$0.89 | 48% 5182-5705 (10887) |
Haradwaith<$100 | Noavg 39.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 41489-31239 (72728) |
HoshinoAI<$100 | Noavg 44¢ | — | — | +$0 | 7% 2-26 (28) |
CosmicCedar | Noavg 98.8¢ | $168.4 | — | +$2.03 | 50% 1487-1484 (2971) |
QuantDeLaFugaziCTR<$100 | Yesavg 61¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 1292-710 (2002) |
2B9S<$100 | Noavg 55¢ | — | — | +$0 | 15% 4994-29324 (34318) |
SH
shiifoo<$100Invested
$4.79
Value
$5.68
PnL
+$0.89
Record
48%
5182-5705 (10887)
Haradwaith<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
41489-31239 (72728)
HoshinoAI<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
7%
2-26 (28)
CosmicCedarInvested
$168.4
Value
—
PnL
+$2.03
Record
50%
1487-1484 (2971)
QuantDeLaFugaziCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
1292-710 (2002)
2B9S<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
15%
4994-29324 (34318)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb313fec1...b1ef2d
Slug
will-trump-say-ballroom-during-60-minutes-extended-interview