Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
No 50%
$67.7
$57.17
Smart Money Signal
9 of 12 top traders (75%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 zxdfbdfgngcxv<$100 | Noavg 96.6¢ | $9.01 | $67.7 | +$58.69 | 82% 1732-388 (2120) |
 wagwanshawtyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.9¢ | $1.52 | — | -$1.52 | — 4-4 (8) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 41.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20834-13247 (34081) |
AN anoin123<$100 | Noavg 63¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 449-515 (964) |
ZE zerone777<$100 | Noavg 69¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 393-591 (984) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 63¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6405-5609 (12014) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100 | Noavg 54.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 142-198 (340) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 39.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4361-9392 (13753) |
 ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100 | Noavg 80.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 15268-11796 (27064) |
 Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 36.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 23% 288-962 (1250) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 55.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15094-27222 (42316) |
 crypto-basenjiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 38% 168-277 (445) |
zxdfbdfgngcxv<$100Invested
$9.01
Value
$67.7
PnL
+$58.69
Record
82%
1732-388 (2120)
wagwanshawtyCTR<$100Invested
$1.52
Value
—
PnL
-$1.52
Record
—
4-4 (8)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20834-13247 (34081)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
449-515 (964)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
393-591 (984)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6405-5609 (12014)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
142-198 (340)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4361-9392 (13753)
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
15268-11796 (27064)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
23%
288-962 (1250)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15094-27222 (42316)
crypto-basenjiCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
38%
168-277 (445)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
zxdfbdfgngcxv
No — $67.7
wagwanshawty
CTRYes — $0
balthazar
No — $0
anoin123
No — $0
zerone777
No — $0
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
No — $0
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73
No — $0
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271
CTRYes — $0
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
No — $0
Istaroth
No — $0