Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the Worlds 2026 champion be a first-time Worlds winner?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Yes 86%
$723.47
$379.82
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PA PacersThreeandahalf | Yesavg 37¢ | $178.45 | $482.29 | +$303.84 | 61% 1053-661 (1714) |
0X 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938<$100 | Yesavg 30.3¢ | $51.68 | $95.6 | +$51.24 | 39% 1093-1684 (2777) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Yesavg 81.8¢ | $67.91 | $60 | +$12.09 | 53% 7310-6373 (13683) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Yesavg 83.7¢ | $39.88 | $45.48 | +$5.6 | 40% 259-388 (647) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Yesavg 40¢ | $10 | $25 | +$15 | 38% 3738-6054 (9792) |
 vtcchampion52<$100 | Yesavg 89.6¢ | $48.38 | $15.1 | -$7.81 | 48% 867-936 (1803) |
 LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.2¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 14% 96-579 (675) |
Invested
$178.45
Value
$482.29
PnL
+$303.84
Record
61%
1053-661 (1714)
Invested
$51.68
Value
$95.6
PnL
+$51.24
Record
39%
1093-1684 (2777)
Invested
$67.91
Value
$60
PnL
+$12.09
Record
53%
7310-6373 (13683)
Invested
$39.88
Value
$45.48
PnL
+$5.6
Record
40%
259-388 (647)
Invested
$10
Value
$25
PnL
+$15
Record
38%
3738-6054 (9792)
vtcchampion52<$100Invested
$48.38
Value
$15.1
PnL
-$7.81
Record
48%
867-936 (1803)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
14%
96-579 (675)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
PacersThreeandahalf
Yes — $482.29
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938
Yes — $95.6
cigarettes
Yes — $60
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271
Yes — $45.48
xtxpleasecallme
Yes — $25
vtcchampion52
Yes — $15.1
LornaPredicts
CTRNo — $0