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yen4uNo
Barkshire-HathawayNoNo
Istaroth<$100NoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 1?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 80%
Total Value
$765.1
Combined PnL
$32.22
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$765.1
Total Shares765
Combined PnL+$49.39
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares195
Combined PnL-$17.18
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
yen4u | Noavg 99.1¢ | $393.71 | $397.35 | +$3.64 | 86% 832-136 (968) |
Barkshire-Hathaway | Noavg 85¢ | $423.21 | $225.63 | +$35.41 | 64% 1114-631 (1745) |
PK pkz<$100 | Noavg 84.8¢ | $65.37 | $77.11 | +$11.74 | 58% 475-347 (822) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 85.6¢ | $66.45 | $65.01 | -$1.39 | 17% 402-1972 (2374) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.9¢ | $45.52 | — | -$15.78 | 35% 16955-31322 (48277) |
WA WarriorHCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16¢ | $20 | — | -$1.4 | 17% 1026-4959 (5985) |
yen4uInvested
$393.71
Value
$397.35
PnL
+$3.64
Record
86%
832-136 (968)
Barkshire-HathawayInvested
$423.21
Value
$225.63
PnL
+$35.41
Record
64%
1114-631 (1745)
PK
pkz<$100Invested
$65.37
Value
$77.11
PnL
+$11.74
Record
58%
475-347 (822)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$66.45
Value
$65.01
PnL
-$1.39
Record
17%
402-1972 (2374)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$45.52
Value
—
PnL
-$15.78
Record
35%
16955-31322 (48277)
WA
WarriorHCTR<$100Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
17%
1026-4959 (5985)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x02e4c2e7...92f21b
Slug
will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-on-november-1-2026