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Optimus-NoNo
TBill1CTR<$100YesYesYesYes
Haradwaith<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 achieve a successful splashdown?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 33%
Total Value
$734.87
Combined PnL
$121.46
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$734.87
Total Shares735
Combined PnL+$177.61
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares146
Combined PnL-$56.15
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Optimus- | Noavg 77.4¢ | $439 | $567.37 | +$128.37 | 35% 7-13 (20) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 61¢ | $138.09 | $167.5 | +$38.81 | 39% 3708-5917 (9625) |
TBill1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 46¢ | $40 | — | -$40 | 5% 6-112 (118) |
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 28¢ | $6.16 | — | -$6.16 | 17% 29-141 (170) |
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100 | Yesavg 27¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 15% 28-157 (185) |
0X 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495CTR<$100 | Yesavg 27¢ | $4.59 | — | -$4.59 | 41% 33-47 (80) |
Haradwaith<$100 | Noavg 65.1¢ | $58.02 | — | +$10.43 | 31% 229-507 (736) |
Optimus-Invested
$439
Value
$567.37
PnL
+$128.37
Record
35%
7-13 (20)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeInvested
$138.09
Value
$167.5
PnL
+$38.81
Record
39%
3708-5917 (9625)
TBill1CTR<$100Invested
$40
Value
—
PnL
-$40
Record
5%
6-112 (118)
SU
SulkingCryptoCTR<$100Invested
$6.16
Value
—
PnL
-$6.16
Record
17%
29-141 (170)
0X
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
15%
28-157 (185)
0X
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495CTR<$100Invested
$4.59
Value
—
PnL
-$4.59
Record
41%
33-47 (80)
Haradwaith<$100Invested
$58.02
Value
—
PnL
+$10.43
Record
31%
229-507 (736)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xea59088f...06ced0
Slug
will-the-starship-for-spacex-starship-flight-test-15-achieve-a-successful-splashdown