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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?

Resolved Yes. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Yes 60%

Total Value

$813.71

Combined PnL

$191.22

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes7 traders

Total Value$813.71

Total Shares814

Combined PnL+$34.69

No6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,413

Combined PnL+$156.53

Yes — 54%No — 46%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CoinTrick	Yesavg 99.9¢	$513.51	$514	+$0.49	97% 4729-148 (4877)
PE peepeepooppoop	Yesavg 90.5¢	$181.02	$199.47	+$18.98	51% 2595-2531 (5126)
FL FlyingPlaty	Yesavg 96¢	$96	$100	+$4	99% 1127-16 (1143)
HolyMoses7<$100	Yesavg 97.9¢	$0.23	$0.24	+$0	50% 1758-1780 (3538)
SI SitsToPeeCTR	Noavg 5.9¢	$13.8K	$0	+$215.87	54% 824-710 (1534)
E4 e46m3<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	67% 27557-13860 (41417)
LP lpgbCTR<$100	Noavg 4.2¢	$1.26	—	-$0.18	27% 603-1659 (2262)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Noavg 4.5¢	$65.9	—	-$58.9	34% 19360-36909 (56269)
0X 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yesavg 94.2¢	$354.1	—	+$9.99	45% 2998-3691 (6689)
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yesavg 89¢	$108.72	—	+$1.22	56% 16370-13119 (29489)
WA WarriorHCTR<$100	Noavg 5.8¢	$20.08	—	-$0.08	17% 1355-6567 (7922)
HaradwaithCTR<$100	Noavg 4.5¢	$6.93	—	+$0.53	40% 6553-9836 (16389)
SP SPLPBCTR<$100	Noavg 8¢	$5.6	—	-$0.7	24% 796-2561 (3357)

Invested

$513.51

Value

$514

PnL

+$0.49

Record

97%

4729-148 (4877)

Invested

$181.02

Value

$199.47

PnL

+$18.98

Record

51%

2595-2531 (5126)

Invested

$96

Value

$100

PnL

+$4

Record

99%

1127-16 (1143)

HolyMoses7<$100

Invested

$0.23

Value

$0.24

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1758-1780 (3538)

Invested

$13,790.11

Value

$0

PnL

+$215.87

Record

54%

824-710 (1534)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

67%

27557-13860 (41417)

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$0.18

Record

27%

603-1659 (2262)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

$65.9

Value

—

PnL

-$58.9

Record

34%

19360-36909 (56269)

0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938

Invested

$354.1

Value

—

PnL

+$9.99

Record

45%

2998-3691 (6689)

ArmageddonRewardsBilly

Invested

$108.72

Value

—

PnL

+$1.22

Record

56%

16370-13119 (29489)

WarriorHCTR<$100

Invested

$20.08

Value

—

PnL

-$0.08

Record

17%

1355-6567 (7922)

HaradwaithCTR<$100

Invested

$6.93

Value

—

PnL

+$0.53

Record

40%

6553-9836 (16389)

Invested

$5.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.7

Record

24%

796-2561 (3357)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0b66264c...af45e2

Slug

will-the-republican-party-win-the-ut-04-house-seat

Traders in this Market

CoinTrick

Yes — $514

peepeepooppoop

Yes — $199.47

FlyingPlaty

Yes — $100

HolyMoses7

Yes — $0.24

SitsToPee

No — $0

e46m3

Yes — $0

lpgb

No — $0

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938

Yes — $0

ArmageddonRewardsBilly

Yes — $0

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