Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be less than $0.40 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

No 71%

Total Value

$657.94

Combined PnL

-$310.19

Smart Money Signal

18 of 32 top traders (56%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No18 traders

Total Value$657.94

Total Shares658

Combined PnL-$166.45

Yes14 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares804

Combined PnL-$143.74

No — 56%Yes — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SM smallreceipt	Noavg 99.8¢	$119.73	$120	-$3.27	50% 7813-7864 (15677)
GO godblessme2026<$100	Noavg 99.6¢	$84.63	$85	-$15.71	42% 5989-8172 (14161)
GR graynotebook19<$100	Noavg 99.5¢	$79.56	$80	-$2.95	63% 12954-7737 (20691)
NO northdrawer<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	$70.8	$71	-$1.65	61% 13866-8714 (22580)
AL alex20011<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$46.78	$46.87	-$7.72	44% 3596-4661 (8257)
KA kaxel78<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$46.78	$46.87	-$7.72	30% 320-759 (1079)
ZE zerone777<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$31.19	$31.25	-$5.15	39% 448-709 (1157)
PO pollo07<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$31.19	$31.25	-$5.15	31% 364-817 (1181)
LI Likaseent<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$31.19	$31.25	-$5.15	28% 231-605 (836)
VA Vale54holi<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$31.19	$31.25	-$5.15	28% 212-555 (767)
ME merod<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$23.15	$23.2	-$3.82	43% 2779-3618 (6397)
KO korda77<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$19.96	$20	-$3.29	46% 5501-6473 (11974)
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$19.96	$20	-$19.96	55% 5875-4772 (10647)
GO god83743894<$100	Noavg 99.3¢	$9.93	$10	-$1.62	49% 9048-9543 (18591)
PL plainfolder<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$9.98	$10	-$9.98	33% 3061-6298 (9359)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100	Yesavg 16.7¢	$2.35	—	-$2.35	35% 107-199 (306)
E4 e46m3CTR	Yesavg 16.7¢	$146.09	—	-$46.02	72% 12202-4798 (17000)
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033CTR<$100	Yesavg 16.7¢	$27.28	—	-$25.08	49% 5502-5623 (11125)
Lucerys	Noavg 99.9¢	$271.41	—	-$45.75	79% 10621-2765 (13386)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 0.7¢	$2.67	—	-$2.67	35% 16955-31322 (48277)
WA WarriorHCTR	Yesavg 16.7¢	$174	—	-$27.37	17% 1026-4959 (5985)
AH aHjCzCTR<$100	Yesavg 16.7¢	$7.49	—	-$7.49	44% 4031-5224 (9255)
HA haveagoodday<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	—	—	-$18.12	53% 3176-2843 (6019)
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100	Yesavg 16.7¢	$12.48	—	-$12.48	31% 1408-3193 (4601)
QU quietparcelCTR<$100	Yesavg 18.2¢	$1.16	—	-$0.2	53% 8926-7971 (16897)

smallreceipt

Invested

$119.73

Value

$120

PnL

-$3.27

Record

50%

7813-7864 (15677)

godblessme2026<$100

Invested

$84.63

Value

$85

PnL

-$15.71

Record

42%

5989-8172 (14161)

graynotebook19<$100

Invested

$79.56

Value

$80

PnL

-$2.95

Record

63%

12954-7737 (20691)

northdrawer<$100

Invested

$70.8

Value

$71

PnL

-$1.65

Record

61%

13866-8714 (22580)

alex20011<$100

Invested

$46.78

Value

$46.87

PnL

-$7.72

Record

44%

3596-4661 (8257)

kaxel78<$100

Invested

$46.78

Value

$46.87

PnL

-$7.72

Record

30%

320-759 (1079)

zerone777<$100

Invested

$31.19

Value

$31.25

PnL

-$5.15

Record

39%

448-709 (1157)

pollo07<$100

Invested

$31.19

Value

$31.25

PnL

-$5.15

Record

31%

364-817 (1181)

Likaseent<$100

Invested

$31.19

Value

$31.25

PnL

-$5.15

Record

28%

231-605 (836)

Vale54holi<$100

Invested

$31.19

Value

$31.25

PnL

-$5.15

Record

28%

212-555 (767)

merod<$100

Invested

$23.15

Value

$23.2

PnL

-$3.82

Record

43%

2779-3618 (6397)

korda77<$100

Invested

$19.96

Value

$20

PnL

-$3.29

Record

46%

5501-6473 (11974)

0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100

Invested

$19.96

Value

$20

PnL

-$19.96

Record

55%

5875-4772 (10647)

god83743894<$100

Invested

$9.93

Value

$10

PnL

-$1.62

Record

49%

9048-9543 (18591)

plainfolder<$100

Invested

$9.98

Value

$10

PnL

-$9.98

Record

33%

3061-6298 (9359)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$2.35

Value

—

PnL

-$2.35

Record

35%

107-199 (306)

e46m3CTR

Yes

Invested

$146.09

Value

—

PnL

-$46.02

Record

72%

12202-4798 (17000)

0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033CTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$27.28

Value

—

PnL

-$25.08

Record

49%

5502-5623 (11125)

Lucerys

Invested

$271.41

Value

—

PnL

-$45.75

Record

79%

10621-2765 (13386)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$2.67

Value

—

PnL

-$2.67

Record

35%

16955-31322 (48277)

WarriorHCTR

Yes

Invested

$174

Value

—

PnL

-$27.37

Record

17%

1026-4959 (5985)

aHjCzCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$7.49

Value

—

PnL

-$7.49

Record

44%

4031-5224 (9255)

haveagoodday<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$18.12

Record

53%

3176-2843 (6019)

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$12.48

Value

—

PnL

-$12.48

Record

31%

1408-3193 (4601)

quietparcelCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$1.16

Value

—

PnL

-$0.2

Record

53%

8926-7971 (16897)

Smart Money Signal

18 of 32 top traders (56%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc57440f1...f5bbf0

Slug

will-the-ornn-rtx-5090-index-be-less-than-0pt40-on-october-31-2026-20260811191114494

Traders in this Market

smallreceipt

No — $120

-$3.27

godblessme2026

No — $85

-$15.71

graynotebook19

No — $80

-$2.95

northdrawer

No — $71

-$1.65

alex20011

No — $46.87

-$7.72

kaxel78

No — $46.87

-$7.72

zerone777

No — $31.25

-$5.15

pollo07

No — $31.25

-$5.15

Likaseent

No — $31.25

-$5.15

Vale54holi

No — $31.25

-$5.15

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