Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
No 84%
$840.16
-$386.24
Smart Money Signal
25 of 35 top traders (71%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 80.8¢ | $346.89 | $351.92 | -$171.78 | 35% 16955-31322 (48277) |
NO northdrawer | Noavg 87.6¢ | $87.56 | $100 | -$0.84 | 61% 13866-8714 (22580) |
AL alex20011<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $46.64 | $46.87 | -$7.59 | 44% 3596-4661 (8257) |
KA kaxel78<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $46.64 | $46.87 | -$7.59 | 30% 320-759 (1079) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $38.88 | $41 | -$0.08 | 53% 8926-7971 (16897) |
ZE zerone777<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | $31.13 | $31.25 | -$5.09 | 39% 448-709 (1157) |
PO pollo07<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $31.09 | $31.25 | -$5.06 | 31% 364-817 (1181) |
LI Likaseent<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $31.09 | $31.25 | -$5.06 | 28% 231-605 (836) |
VA Vale54holi<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $31.09 | $31.25 | -$5.06 | 28% 212-555 (767) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | $26.39 | $30 | -$0.99 | 49% 9048-9543 (18591) |
 2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.7¢ | $66.95 | — | -$80.95 | 18% 4056-19002 (23058) |
 GenaTheBondKilIer<$100 | Noavg 62.7¢ | $65.74 | $23.5 | -$5.41 | 51% 528-511 (1039) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 78.5¢ | $15.7 | $20 | +$4.3 | 63% 12954-7737 (20691) |
KO korda77<$100 | Noavg 97¢ | $19.4 | $20 | -$2.76 | 46% 5501-6473 (11974) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100 | Noavg 90¢ | $18 | $20 | -$2.88 | 55% 5875-4772 (10647) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 85.4¢ | $8.54 | $10 | +$7.35 | 42% 5989-8172 (14161) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 91.8¢ | $4.59 | $5 | -$2.17 | 50% 7813-7864 (15677) |
E4 e46m3CTR | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $182.01 | — | -$10.84 | 72% 12202-4798 (17000) |
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | — | — | -$24.36 | 49% 5502-5623 (11125) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 85.7¢ | — | — | -$1.62 | 55% 25961-21246 (47207) |
 LucerysCTR | Yesavg 19.9¢ | $273.33 | — | -$39.72 | 79% 10621-2765 (13386) |
WA WarriorH | Noavg 92.3¢ | $228 | — | -$21.05 | 17% 1026-4959 (5985) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.3¢ | $20.58 | — | +$0.39 | 44% 4031-5224 (9255) |
HA haveagoodday<$100 | Noavg 85.7¢ | $50 | — | -$7.76 | 53% 3176-2843 (6019) |
 ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 35¢ | $14 | — | +$2.4 | 56% 15516-12124 (27640) |
Invested
$346.89
Value
$351.92
PnL
-$171.78
Record
35%
16955-31322 (48277)
Invested
$87.56
Value
$100
PnL
-$0.84
Record
61%
13866-8714 (22580)
Invested
$46.64
Value
$46.87
PnL
-$7.59
Record
44%
3596-4661 (8257)
Invested
$46.64
Value
$46.87
PnL
-$7.59
Record
30%
320-759 (1079)
Invested
$38.88
Value
$41
PnL
-$0.08
Record
53%
8926-7971 (16897)
Invested
$31.13
Value
$31.25
PnL
-$5.09
Record
39%
448-709 (1157)
Invested
$31.09
Value
$31.25
PnL
-$5.06
Record
31%
364-817 (1181)
Invested
$31.09
Value
$31.25
PnL
-$5.06
Record
28%
231-605 (836)
Invested
$31.09
Value
$31.25
PnL
-$5.06
Record
28%
212-555 (767)
Invested
$26.39
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.99
Record
49%
9048-9543 (18591)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$66.95
Value
—
PnL
-$80.95
Record
18%
4056-19002 (23058)
GenaTheBondKilIer<$100Invested
$65.74
Value
$23.5
PnL
-$5.41
Record
51%
528-511 (1039)
Invested
$15.7
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.3
Record
63%
12954-7737 (20691)
Invested
$19.4
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.76
Record
46%
5501-6473 (11974)
Invested
$18
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.88
Record
55%
5875-4772 (10647)
Invested
$8.54
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.35
Record
42%
5989-8172 (14161)
Invested
$4.59
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.17
Record
50%
7813-7864 (15677)
Invested
$182.01
Value
—
PnL
-$10.84
Record
72%
12202-4798 (17000)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$24.36
Record
49%
5502-5623 (11125)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$1.62
Record
55%
25961-21246 (47207)
LucerysCTRInvested
$273.33
Value
—
PnL
-$39.72
Record
79%
10621-2765 (13386)
Invested
$228
Value
—
PnL
-$21.05
Record
17%
1026-4959 (5985)
Invested
$20.58
Value
—
PnL
+$0.39
Record
44%
4031-5224 (9255)
Invested
$50
Value
—
PnL
-$7.76
Record
53%
3176-2843 (6019)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100Invested
$14
Value
—
PnL
+$2.4
Record
56%
15516-12124 (27640)