Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
38
No 85%
$1.3K
-$397.02
Smart Money Signal
27 of 38 top traders (71%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%30 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 123987456 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $199 | $200 | -$32.33 | 43% 2040-2652 (4692) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 82.5¢ | $170.23 | $180.37 | -$80.19 | 35% 16955-31322 (48277) |
![]() GenaTheBondKilIer | Noavg 63¢ | $106.5 | $163.26 | +$95.84 | 51% 528-511 (1039) |
NO northdrawer | Noavg 82.9¢ | $91.15 | $110 | -$0.48 | 61% 13866-8714 (22580) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 90.3¢ | $72.21 | $80 | +$3.88 | 63% 12954-7737 (20691) |
![]() balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.3¢ | $69.51 | $70 | -$11.19 | 55% 25961-21246 (47207) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 93.2¢ | $63.38 | $68 | -$1.22 | 49% 9048-9543 (18591) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 97.9¢ | $48.97 | $50 | -$3.11 | 50% 7813-7864 (15677) |
AL alex20011<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $46.8 | $46.87 | -$7.74 | 44% 3596-4661 (8257) |
KA kaxel78<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $46.82 | $46.87 | -$7.77 | 30% 320-759 (1079) |
PO pollo07<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $31.22 | $31.25 | -$5.18 | 31% 364-817 (1181) |
LI Likaseent<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $31.22 | $31.25 | -$5.18 | 28% 231-605 (836) |
VA Vale54holi<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $31.22 | $31.25 | -$5.18 | 28% 212-555 (767) |
ME merod<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $23.15 | $23.2 | -$3.82 | 43% 2779-3618 (6397) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 98.7¢ | $19.73 | $20 | +$3.57 | 42% 5989-8172 (14161) |
KO korda77<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $19.9 | $20 | -$3.24 | 46% 5501-6473 (11974) |
MI mildwindow27<$100 | Noavg 96.7¢ | $19.86 | $20 | -$8.96 | 49% 7454-7779 (15233) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100 | Noavg 88.1¢ | $17.62 | $20 | -$5.97 | 55% 5875-4772 (10647) |
ZE zerone777<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $16.5 | $16.52 | -$5.16 | 39% 448-709 (1157) |
HA haveagoodday<$100 | Noavg 99.3¢ | $12.91 | $13 | -$12.91 | 53% 3176-2843 (6019) |
SP SpringlyFawl<$100 | Noavg 94.4¢ | $73.92 | $10 | -$4.9 | 30% 2189-5039 (7228) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 96.4¢ | $5.98 | $5 | -$0.18 | 53% 8926-7971 (16897) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 35% 107-199 (306) |
E4 e46m3 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $184.3 | — | -$34.92 | 72% 12202-4798 (17000) |
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033CTR | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $100.04 | — | -$14.66 | 49% 5502-5623 (11125) |
Invested
$199
Value
$200
PnL
-$32.33
Record
43%
2040-2652 (4692)
Invested
$170.23
Value
$180.37
PnL
-$80.19
Record
35%
16955-31322 (48277)
GenaTheBondKilIerInvested
$106.5
Value
$163.26
PnL
+$95.84
Record
51%
528-511 (1039)
Invested
$91.15
Value
$110
PnL
-$0.48
Record
61%
13866-8714 (22580)
Invested
$72.21
Value
$80
PnL
+$3.88
Record
63%
12954-7737 (20691)
balthazar<$100Invested
$69.51
Value
$70
PnL
-$11.19
Record
55%
25961-21246 (47207)
Invested
$63.38
Value
$68
PnL
-$1.22
Record
49%
9048-9543 (18591)
Invested
$48.97
Value
$50
PnL
-$3.11
Record
50%
7813-7864 (15677)
Invested
$46.8
Value
$46.87
PnL
-$7.74
Record
44%
3596-4661 (8257)
Invested
$46.82
Value
$46.87
PnL
-$7.77
Record
30%
320-759 (1079)
Invested
$31.22
Value
$31.25
PnL
-$5.18
Record
31%
364-817 (1181)
Invested
$31.22
Value
$31.25
PnL
-$5.18
Record
28%
231-605 (836)
Invested
$31.22
Value
$31.25
PnL
-$5.18
Record
28%
212-555 (767)
Invested
$23.15
Value
$23.2
PnL
-$3.82
Record
43%
2779-3618 (6397)
Invested
$19.73
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.57
Record
42%
5989-8172 (14161)
Invested
$19.9
Value
$20
PnL
-$3.24
Record
46%
5501-6473 (11974)
Invested
$19.86
Value
$20
PnL
-$8.96
Record
49%
7454-7779 (15233)
Invested
$17.62
Value
$20
PnL
-$5.97
Record
55%
5875-4772 (10647)
Invested
$16.5
Value
$16.52
PnL
-$5.16
Record
39%
448-709 (1157)
Invested
$12.91
Value
$13
PnL
-$12.91
Record
53%
3176-2843 (6019)
Invested
$73.92
Value
$10
PnL
-$4.9
Record
30%
2189-5039 (7228)
Invested
$5.98
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.18
Record
53%
8926-7971 (16897)
Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
35%
107-199 (306)
Invested
$184.3
Value
—
PnL
-$34.92
Record
72%
12202-4798 (17000)
Invested
$100.04
Value
—
PnL
-$14.66
Record
49%
5502-5623 (11125)