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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved No. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

41

No 88%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$301.16

Smart Money Signal

No

32 of 41 top traders (78%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%32 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No32 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,459
Combined PnL-$65.17
Yes9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares675
Combined PnL-$235.99
No — 78%Yes — 22%
XT
xtxpleasecallme
No

Invested

$1,286.4

Value

$540.38

PnL

+$59.06

Record

35%

16955-31322 (48277)

balthazar
No

Invested

$178.55

Value

$227.99

PnL

+$13

Record

55%

25961-21246 (47207)

CoinTrick
No

Invested

$141.12

Value

$141.26

PnL

+$0.14

Record

98%

3850-94 (3944)

KA
kaxel78<$100
No

Invested

$49.28

Value

$60.29

PnL

+$0.86

Record

30%

320-759 (1079)

ZE
zerone777<$100
No

Invested

$45.64

Value

$55.98

PnL

+$0.85

Record

39%

448-709 (1157)

Istaroth<$100
No

Invested

$87.77

Value

$50

PnL

-$31.1

Record

17%

402-1972 (2374)

AL
alex20011<$100
No

Invested

$36.57

Value

$44.6

PnL

+$0.59

Record

44%

3596-4661 (8257)

SM
smallreceipt<$100
No

Invested

$31.6

Value

$40

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

7813-7864 (15677)

clazzy1CTR
Yes

Invested

$124.47

Value

—

PnL

-$144.47

Record

63%

446-257 (703)

AK
akroll<$100
No

Invested

$31.84

Value

$38.83

PnL

+$0.52

Record

30%

367-838 (1205)

VA
Vale54holi<$100
No

Invested

$26.32

Value

$32.1

PnL

+$0.43

Record

28%

212-555 (767)

KL
klli27<$100
No

Invested

$26.32

Value

$32.1

PnL

+$0.43

Record

30%

350-813 (1163)

NO
northdrawer<$100
No

Invested

$25.9

Value

$30

PnL

-$1.38

Record

61%

13866-8714 (22580)

GenaTheBondKilIer
No

Invested

$149.35

Value

$29.6

PnL

-$117.62

Record

51%

528-511 (1039)

LI
Likaseent<$100
No

Invested

$24.04

Value

$29.32

PnL

+$0.39

Record

28%

231-605 (836)

VI
VictorLudorum<$100
No

Invested

$16.2

Value

$20

PnL

+$0.64

Record

54%

6081-5239 (11320)

Lucerys<$100
No

Invested

$86.69

Value

$16.1

PnL

+$27.84

Record

79%

10621-2765 (13386)

0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100
No

Invested

$12

Value

$15

PnL

-$3.37

Record

55%

5875-4772 (10647)

CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100
No

Invested

$8.1

Value

$12.64

PnL

+$4.54

Record

53%

7528-6656 (14184)

GO
god83743894<$100
No

Invested

$7.7

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.07

Record

49%

9048-9543 (18591)

PL
plainfolder<$100
No

Invested

$8.2

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.13

Record

33%

3061-6298 (9359)

ME
merod<$100
No

Invested

$8.09

Value

$9.52

PnL

-$0.21

Record

43%

2779-3618 (6397)

PI
PiEDawg<$100
No

Invested

$5.18

Value

$7.1

PnL

+$0.67

Record

52%

1631-1484 (3115)

LI
lissartter<$100
No

Invested

$4.4

Value

$5.72

PnL

+$1.32

Record

42%

5348-7364 (12712)

E4
e46m3
No

Invested

$180.12

Value

—

PnL

+$6.99

Record

72%

12202-4798 (17000)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x6a8fe29e...22462b
Slug
will-the-ornn-h200-index-be-between-5pt00-and-5pt50-on-october-31-2026-20260811191113616

Traders in this Market

XT

xtxpleasecallme

No — $540.38

+$59.06

balthazar

No — $227.99

+$13

CoinTrick

No — $141.26

+$0.14
KA

kaxel78

No — $60.29

+$0.86
ZE

zerone777

No — $55.98

+$0.85

Istaroth

No — $50

-$31.1
AL

alex20011

No — $44.6

+$0.59
SM

smallreceipt

No — $40

+$0

clazzy1

CTR

Yes — $0

-$144.47
AK

akroll

No — $38.83

+$0.52
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