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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved No. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

41

No 80%

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

-$338.94

Smart Money Signal

No

31 of 41 top traders (76%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%35 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No31 traders
Total Value$1.3K
Total Shares1,264
Combined PnL-$168.43
Yes10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares792
Combined PnL-$170.51
No — 76%Yes — 24%
XT
xtxpleasecallme
No

Invested

$1,441.55

Value

$422.24

PnL

-$197.91

Record

35%

16955-31322 (48277)

GenaTheBondKilIer
No

Invested

$342.56

Value

$200.24

PnL

+$31.6

Record

51%

528-511 (1039)

balthazar<$100
No

Invested

$92.04

Value

$97.99

PnL

-$11.87

Record

55%

25961-21246 (47207)

Istaroth
No

Invested

$102.74

Value

$95.99

PnL

-$1.52

Record

17%

402-1972 (2374)

KA
kaxel78<$100
No

Invested

$51.69

Value

$60.29

PnL

-$1.75

Record

30%

320-759 (1079)

ZE
zerone777<$100
No

Invested

$47.88

Value

$55.98

PnL

-$1.51

Record

39%

448-709 (1157)

AL
alex20011<$100
No

Invested

$37.91

Value

$44.6

PnL

-$0.97

Record

44%

3596-4661 (8257)

GR
graynotebook19<$100
No

Invested

$33.2

Value

$40

PnL

+$11.41

Record

63%

12954-7737 (20691)

AK
akroll<$100
No

Invested

$33.39

Value

$38.83

PnL

-$1.22

Record

30%

367-838 (1205)

VA
Vale54holi<$100
No

Invested

$27.49

Value

$32.1

PnL

-$0.89

Record

28%

212-555 (767)

KL
klli27<$100
No

Invested

$27.29

Value

$32.1

PnL

-$0.7

Record

30%

350-813 (1163)

NO
northdrawer<$100
No

Invested

$23.5

Value

$30

PnL

+$1.13

Record

61%

13866-8714 (22580)

LI
Likaseent<$100
No

Invested

$25.22

Value

$29.32

PnL

-$0.92

Record

28%

231-605 (836)

LI
lissartter<$100
No

Invested

$21.43

Value

$25.51

PnL

+$4.08

Record

42%

5348-7364 (12712)

0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100
No

Invested

$12.75

Value

$15

PnL

+$13.4

Record

55%

5875-4772 (10647)

HA
haveagoodday<$100
No

Invested

$8.38

Value

$10.2

PnL

+$0.13

Record

53%

3176-2843 (6019)

SM
smallreceiptCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$37

Value

—

PnL

-$37.6

Record

50%

7813-7864 (15677)

LucerysCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$63.98

Value

—

PnL

-$73.98

Record

79%

10621-2765 (13386)

GO
god83743894<$100
No

Invested

$6.3

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.05

Record

49%

9048-9543 (18591)

ME
merod<$100
No

Invested

$7.33

Value

$9.52

PnL

+$0.54

Record

43%

2779-3618 (6397)

PI
PiEDawg<$100
No

Invested

$6.26

Value

$7.2

PnL

-$0.25

Record

52%

1631-1484 (3115)

LP
lpgb<$100
No

Invested

$5.73

Value

$6.74

PnL

-$0.11

Record

25%

181-542 (723)

E4
e46m3
No

Invested

$119.15

Value

—

PnL

+$0.36

Record

72%

12202-4798 (17000)

0X
0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0.66

Record

49%

5502-5623 (11125)

WA
WarriorH<$100
No

Invested

$80

Value

—

PnL

-$2.31

Record

17%

1026-4959 (5985)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x0848fdb4...6a2117
Slug
will-the-ornn-h200-index-be-between-4pt50-and-5pt00-on-october-31-2026-20260811191113615

Traders in this Market

XT

xtxpleasecallme

No — $422.24

-$197.91

GenaTheBondKilIer

No — $200.24

+$31.6

balthazar

No — $97.99

-$11.87

Istaroth

No — $95.99

-$1.52
KA

kaxel78

No — $60.29

-$1.75
ZE

zerone777

No — $55.98

-$1.51
AL

alex20011

No — $44.6

-$0.97
GR

graynotebook19

No — $40

+$11.41
AK

akroll

No — $38.83

-$1.22
VA

Vale54holi

No — $32.1

-$0.89
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