Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved No. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

No 71%

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

-$390.77

Smart Money Signal

28 of 40 top traders (70%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%34 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No28 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,012

Combined PnL-$213.04

Yes12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares896

Combined PnL-$177.72

No — 70%Yes — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
XT xtxpleasecallme	Noavg 80.8¢	$1.3K	$284.78	-$161.53	35% 16955-31322 (48277)
GenaTheBondKilIer	Noavg 75¢	$117.92	$140	+$21.61	51% 528-511 (1039)
balthazar	Noavg 99.3¢	$109.2	$109.92	-$20.55	55% 25961-21246 (47207)
KA kaxel78<$100	Noavg 99.1¢	$59.76	$60.29	-$9.54	30% 320-759 (1079)
ZE zerone777<$100	Noavg 99¢	$55.41	$55.98	-$8.78	39% 448-709 (1157)
AL alex20011<$100	Noavg 99¢	$49.06	$44.6	-$8.36	44% 3596-4661 (8257)
MI mildwindow27<$100	Noavg 98.6¢	$39.44	$40	+$0	49% 7454-7779 (15233)
AK akroll<$100	Noavg 98.9¢	$38.4	$38.83	-$6.06	30% 367-838 (1205)
VA Vale54holi<$100	Noavg 99.1¢	$31.81	$32.1	-$5.07	28% 212-555 (767)
KL klli27<$100	Noavg 98.8¢	$31.72	$32.1	-$4.98	30% 350-813 (1163)
GR graynotebook19<$100	Noavg 80.3¢	$24.08	$30	+$4.74	63% 12954-7737 (20691)
LI Likaseent<$100	Noavg 98.9¢	$29	$29.32	-$4.58	28% 231-605 (836)
VI VictorLudorum<$100	Noavg 99.6¢	$27.14	$27.25	-$4.44	54% 6081-5239 (11320)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Noavg 93.6¢	$23.4	$25	+$1.61	53% 7528-6656 (14184)
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100	Noavg 98.7¢	$14.81	$15	+$1.34	55% 5875-4772 (10647)
LucerysCTR<$100	Yesavg 18.3¢	$64.44	—	-$74.44	79% 10621-2765 (13386)
NO northdrawer<$100	Noavg 75¢	$7.5	$10	+$2.5	61% 13866-8714 (22580)
GO godblessme2026<$100	Noavg 99.4¢	$9.94	$10	-$0.1	42% 5989-8172 (14161)
PL plainfolder<$100	Noavg 95.1¢	$9.51	$10	-$1.55	33% 3061-6298 (9359)
ME merod<$100	Noavg 75¢	$7.14	$9.52	+$0.72	43% 2779-3618 (6397)
PI PiEDawg<$100	Noavg 95.1¢	$6.72	$7.07	-$0.84	52% 1631-1484 (3115)
SM smallreceiptCTR<$100	Yesavg 16.6¢	$26.42	—	-$26.42	50% 7813-7864 (15677)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100	Yesavg 16.7¢	$1.5	—	-$1.5	35% 107-199 (306)
E4 e46m3	Noavg 99.5¢	$109.75	—	-$20.2	72% 12202-4798 (17000)
0X 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	-$4.62	47% 92-102 (194)

xtxpleasecallme

Invested

$1,262.38

Value

$284.78

PnL

-$161.53

Record

35%

16955-31322 (48277)

GenaTheBondKilIer

Invested

$117.92

Value

$140

PnL

+$21.61

Record

51%

528-511 (1039)

balthazar

Invested

$109.2

Value

$109.92

PnL

-$20.55

Record

55%

25961-21246 (47207)

kaxel78<$100

Invested

$59.76

Value

$60.29

PnL

-$9.54

Record

30%

320-759 (1079)

zerone777<$100

Invested

$55.41

Value

$55.98

PnL

-$8.78

Record

39%

448-709 (1157)

alex20011<$100

Invested

$49.06

Value

$44.6

PnL

-$8.36

Record

44%

3596-4661 (8257)

mildwindow27<$100

Invested

$39.44

Value

$40

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

7454-7779 (15233)

akroll<$100

Invested

$38.4

Value

$38.83

PnL

-$6.06

Record

30%

367-838 (1205)

Vale54holi<$100

Invested

$31.81

Value

$32.1

PnL

-$5.07

Record

28%

212-555 (767)

klli27<$100

Invested

$31.72

Value

$32.1

PnL

-$4.98

Record

30%

350-813 (1163)

graynotebook19<$100

Invested

$24.08

Value

$30

PnL

+$4.74

Record

63%

12954-7737 (20691)

Likaseent<$100

Invested

$29

Value

$29.32

PnL

-$4.58

Record

28%

231-605 (836)

VictorLudorum<$100

Invested

$27.14

Value

$27.25

PnL

-$4.44

Record

54%

6081-5239 (11320)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

$23.4

Value

$25

PnL

+$1.61

Record

53%

7528-6656 (14184)

0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060<$100

Invested

$14.81

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.34

Record

55%

5875-4772 (10647)

LucerysCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$64.44

Value

—

PnL

-$74.44

Record

79%

10621-2765 (13386)

northdrawer<$100

Invested

$7.5

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.5

Record

61%

13866-8714 (22580)

godblessme2026<$100

Invested

$9.94

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.1

Record

42%

5989-8172 (14161)

plainfolder<$100

Invested

$9.51

Value

$10

PnL

-$1.55

Record

33%

3061-6298 (9359)

merod<$100

Invested

$7.14

Value

$9.52

PnL

+$0.72

Record

43%

2779-3618 (6397)

PiEDawg<$100

Invested

$6.72

Value

$7.07

PnL

-$0.84

Record

52%

1631-1484 (3115)

smallreceiptCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$26.42

Value

—

PnL

-$26.42

Record

50%

7813-7864 (15677)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$1.5

Value

—

PnL

-$1.5

Record

35%

107-199 (306)

e46m3

Invested

$109.75

Value

—

PnL

-$20.2

Record

72%

12202-4798 (17000)

0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758CTR<$100

Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$4.62

Record

47%

92-102 (194)

Smart Money Signal

28 of 40 top traders (70%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%34 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa3720f68...715bed

Slug

will-the-ornn-h200-index-be-between-4pt00-and-4pt50-on-october-31-2026-20260811191113614

Traders in this Market

xtxpleasecallme

No — $284.78

-$161.53

GenaTheBondKilIer

No — $140

+$21.61

balthazar

No — $109.92

-$20.55

kaxel78

No — $60.29

-$9.54

zerone777

No — $55.98

-$8.78

alex20011

No — $44.6

-$8.36

mildwindow27

No — $40

+$0

akroll

No — $38.83

-$6.06

Vale54holi

No — $32.1

-$5.07

klli27

No — $32.1

-$4.98

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