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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

20

No 56%

Total Value

$141.4

Combined PnL

-$218.8

Smart Money Signal

No

12 of 20 top traders (60%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No12 traders
Total Value$141.4
Total Shares141
Combined PnL-$148.51
Yes8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares805
Combined PnL-$70.29
No — 60%Yes — 40%
NO
northdrawer<$100
No

Invested

$39.64

Value

$40

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

13866-8714 (22580)

GR
graynotebook19<$100
No

Invested

$36.77

Value

$37

PnL

-$1.53

Record

63%

12954-7737 (20691)

SM
smallreceipt<$100
No

Invested

$29.97

Value

$30

PnL

-$4.58

Record

50%

7813-7864 (15677)

GenaTheBondKilIer
No

Invested

$271.32

Value

$24.4

PnL

-$19.21

Record

51%

528-511 (1039)

GO
godblessme2026<$100
No

Invested

$9.71

Value

$10

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

5989-8172 (14161)

XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$80.01

Value

—

PnL

-$44.22

Record

35%

16955-31322 (48277)

0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$3

Value

—

PnL

-$3

Record

35%

107-199 (306)

E4
e46m3
No

Invested

$108.93

Value

—

PnL

-$37.46

Record

72%

12202-4798 (17000)

0X
0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$10.36

Record

49%

5502-5623 (11125)

Lucerys
No

Invested

$214.2

Value

—

PnL

-$35.54

Record

79%

10621-2765 (13386)

HA
haveagoodday<$100
No

Invested

$30

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

3176-2843 (6019)

SP
SpringlyFawlCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$25

Value

—

PnL

-$4.12

Record

30%

2189-5039 (7228)

QU
quietparcel
No

Invested

$135.2

Value

—

PnL

-$23.57

Record

53%

8926-7971 (16897)

KO
korda77CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$2.95

Record

46%

5501-6473 (11974)

MI
mildwindow27<$100
No

Invested

$10

Value

—

PnL

-$6.32

Record

49%

7454-7779 (15233)

0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.9

Value

—

PnL

-$0.9

Record

28%

5957-15587 (21544)

PL
plainfolder<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$9.94

Record

33%

3061-6298 (9359)

0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR
Yes

Invested

$111

Value

—

PnL

-$13.92

Record

55%

5875-4772 (10647)

2B9SCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

18%

4056-19002 (23058)

0X
0xd361529b833f79206cea905500ddb56574144ccdCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

—

4-2 (6)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xdc9ef5f5...657e51
Slug
will-the-ornn-h100-index-be-less-than-2pt00-on-october-31-2026-20260811191113143

Traders in this Market

NO

northdrawer

No — $40

+$0
GR

graynotebook19

No — $37

-$1.53
SM

smallreceipt

No — $30

-$4.58

GenaTheBondKilIer

No — $24.4

-$19.21
GO

godblessme2026

No — $10

+$0
XT

xtxpleasecallme

CTR

Yes — $0

-$44.22
0X

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

CTR

Yes — $0

-$3
E4

e46m3

No — $0

-$37.46
0X

0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033

No — $0

-$10.36

Lucerys

No — $0

-$35.54
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