Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
No 77%
$1.2K
$49.67
Smart Money Signal
17 of 25 top traders (68%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GenaTheBondKilIer | Noavg 74.9¢ | $1.0K | $498.3 | -$26.84 | 51% 528-511 (1039) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 67.3¢ | $1.2K | $175.28 | +$126.24 | 35% 16955-31322 (48277) |
 balthazar | Noavg 71¢ | $113.71 | $160.07 | +$20.81 | 55% 25961-21246 (47207) |
 2B9S | Noavg 73.1¢ | $202.29 | $150.52 | -$122.96 | 18% 4056-19002 (23058) |
 CoinTrick<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $79.92 | $80 | +$0.08 | 98% 3850-94 (3944) |
12 123987456<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | $35.1 | $45 | +$9.9 | 43% 2040-2652 (4692) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 66¢ | $26.4 | $40 | +$0 | 49% 9048-9543 (18591) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | Noavg 74¢ | $22.2 | $30 | +$0 | 61% 13866-8714 (22580) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | $5.8 | $10 | +$0 | 42% 5989-8172 (14161) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $5.25 | $7 | +$4.34 | 50% 7813-7864 (15677) |
E4 e46m3 | Noavg 43.2¢ | $232.92 | — | +$37.92 | 72% 12202-4798 (17000) |
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100 | Noavg 37¢ | — | — | +$11.05 | 49% 5502-5623 (11125) |
 LucerysCTR | Yesavg 17¢ | $305.38 | — | +$5.75 | 79% 10621-2765 (13386) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 59¢ | — | — | +$2.44 | 63% 12954-7737 (20691) |
SP SpringlyFawl<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | $59 | — | -$0.45 | 30% 2189-5039 (7228) |
QU quietparcelCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.5¢ | $0.2 | — | +$28.11 | 53% 8926-7971 (16897) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$4.42 | 46% 5501-6473 (11974) |
MI mildwindow27<$100 | Noavg 66.9¢ | $40 | — | +$6.57 | 49% 7454-7779 (15233) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 32.8¢ | $66.34 | — | -$66.34 | 28% 5957-15587 (21544) |
PL plainfolder | Noavg 73¢ | $135 | — | +$6.2 | 33% 3061-6298 (9359) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR | Yes | $111 | — | +$4.94 | 55% 5875-4772 (10647) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Yesavg 28.7¢ | $17.16 | — | -$15.26 | 42% 5348-7364 (12712) |
CU CustomTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 31¢ | $20 | — | -$1.6 | 15% 118-669 (787) |
ST Started-with-20-USDCTR<$100 | Yesavg 40¢ | $8 | — | +$14.36 | 55% 608-494 (1102) |
0X 0xd361529b833f79206cea905500ddb56574144ccd<$100 | Noavg 72¢ | — | — | +$0 | — 4-2 (6) |
GenaTheBondKilIerInvested
$1,045.73
Value
$498.3
PnL
-$26.84
Record
51%
528-511 (1039)
Invested
$1,238.81
Value
$175.28
PnL
+$126.24
Record
35%
16955-31322 (48277)
balthazarInvested
$113.71
Value
$160.07
PnL
+$20.81
Record
55%
25961-21246 (47207)
2B9SInvested
$202.29
Value
$150.52
PnL
-$122.96
Record
18%
4056-19002 (23058)
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$79.92
Value
$80
PnL
+$0.08
Record
98%
3850-94 (3944)
Invested
$35.1
Value
$45
PnL
+$9.9
Record
43%
2040-2652 (4692)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
9048-9543 (18591)
Invested
$22.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
13866-8714 (22580)
Invested
$5.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
5989-8172 (14161)
Invested
$5.25
Value
$7
PnL
+$4.34
Record
50%
7813-7864 (15677)
Invested
$232.92
Value
—
PnL
+$37.92
Record
72%
12202-4798 (17000)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$11.05
Record
49%
5502-5623 (11125)
LucerysCTRInvested
$305.38
Value
—
PnL
+$5.75
Record
79%
10621-2765 (13386)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$2.44
Record
63%
12954-7737 (20691)
Invested
$59
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
30%
2189-5039 (7228)
Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
+$28.11
Record
53%
8926-7971 (16897)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$4.42
Record
46%
5501-6473 (11974)
Invested
$40
Value
—
PnL
+$6.57
Record
49%
7454-7779 (15233)
Invested
$66.34
Value
—
PnL
-$66.34
Record
28%
5957-15587 (21544)
Invested
$135
Value
—
PnL
+$6.2
Record
33%
3061-6298 (9359)
Invested
$111
Value
—
PnL
+$4.94
Record
55%
5875-4772 (10647)
Invested
$17.16
Value
—
PnL
-$15.26
Record
42%
5348-7364 (12712)
Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
15%
118-669 (787)
Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
+$14.36
Record
55%
608-494 (1102)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
4-2 (6)