Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
No 85%
$1.4K
-$451.13
Smart Money Signal
20 of 28 top traders (71%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 71.6¢ | $799.85 | $695.73 | -$344.39 | 35% 16955-31322 (48277) |
 GenaTheBondKilIer | Noavg 73¢ | $548.03 | $200 | +$9.1 | 51% 528-511 (1039) |
 2B9S | Noavg 73.8¢ | $161.1 | $151.42 | -$85.39 | 18% 4056-19002 (23058) |
GR graynotebook19 | Noavg 71¢ | $95.85 | $135 | +$0.86 | 63% 12954-7737 (20691) |
KO korda77<$100 | Noavg 39¢ | $33.15 | $85 | +$0 | 46% 5501-6473 (11974) |
HA haveagoodday<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $30 | $40 | +$0 | 53% 3176-2843 (6019) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 73.3¢ | $29.3 | $40 | +$0 | 49% 9048-9543 (18591) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 83.9¢ | $59.96 | $23.82 | -$6.65 | 55% 25961-21246 (47207) |
12 123987456<$100 | Noavg 94.1¢ | $9.41 | $10 | -$1.08 | 43% 2040-2652 (4692) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $8 | $10 | +$2.86 | 50% 7813-7864 (15677) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $5.6 | $7 | +$0 | 42% 5989-8172 (14161) |
E4 e46m3 | Noavg 94.2¢ | $162.71 | — | -$9.74 | 72% 12202-4798 (17000) |
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100 | Noavg 87.9¢ | — | — | -$3.14 | 49% 5502-5623 (11125) |
 Lucerys | Noavg 99.9¢ | $324.95 | — | -$7.33 | 79% 10621-2765 (13386) |
WA WarriorH<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | $36 | — | -$2.52 | 17% 1026-4959 (5985) |
0X 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$1.53 | 47% 92-102 (194) |
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $25 | — | -$1.42 | 30% 2189-5039 (7228) |
 ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22¢ | $28.25 | — | +$8.99 | 56% 15516-12124 (27640) |
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F<$100 | Noavg 59¢ | $89.41 | — | -$6.71 | 31% 1408-3193 (4601) |
QU quietparcelCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.5¢ | $0.2 | — | +$16 | 53% 8926-7971 (16897) |
MI mildwindow27<$100 | Noavg 75.8¢ | — | — | +$3.03 | 49% 7454-7779 (15233) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.6¢ | $23.11 | — | -$23.11 | 28% 5957-15587 (21544) |
PL plainfolder<$100 | Noavg 86.5¢ | $30 | — | -$1.9 | 33% 3061-6298 (9359) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | Noavg 74.8¢ | $111 | — | +$14.13 | 55% 5875-4772 (10647) |
CU CustomTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 41¢ | $22 | — | -$3.96 | 15% 118-669 (787) |
Invested
$799.85
Value
$695.73
PnL
-$344.39
Record
35%
16955-31322 (48277)
GenaTheBondKilIerInvested
$548.03
Value
$200
PnL
+$9.1
Record
51%
528-511 (1039)
2B9SInvested
$161.1
Value
$151.42
PnL
-$85.39
Record
18%
4056-19002 (23058)
Invested
$95.85
Value
$135
PnL
+$0.86
Record
63%
12954-7737 (20691)
Invested
$33.15
Value
$85
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
5501-6473 (11974)
Invested
$30
Value
$40
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
3176-2843 (6019)
Invested
$29.3
Value
$40
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
9048-9543 (18591)
balthazar<$100Invested
$59.96
Value
$23.82
PnL
-$6.65
Record
55%
25961-21246 (47207)
Invested
$9.41
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.08
Record
43%
2040-2652 (4692)
Invested
$8
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.86
Record
50%
7813-7864 (15677)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$7
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
5989-8172 (14161)
Invested
$162.71
Value
—
PnL
-$9.74
Record
72%
12202-4798 (17000)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$3.14
Record
49%
5502-5623 (11125)
LucerysInvested
$324.95
Value
—
PnL
-$7.33
Record
79%
10621-2765 (13386)
Invested
$36
Value
—
PnL
-$2.52
Record
17%
1026-4959 (5985)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
47%
92-102 (194)
Invested
$25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.42
Record
30%
2189-5039 (7228)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100Invested
$28.25
Value
—
PnL
+$8.99
Record
56%
15516-12124 (27640)
Invested
$89.41
Value
—
PnL
-$6.71
Record
31%
1408-3193 (4601)
Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
+$16
Record
53%
8926-7971 (16897)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$3.03
Record
49%
7454-7779 (15233)
Invested
$23.11
Value
—
PnL
-$23.11
Record
28%
5957-15587 (21544)
Invested
$30
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
33%
3061-6298 (9359)
Invested
$111
Value
—
PnL
+$14.13
Record
55%
5875-4772 (10647)
Invested
$22
Value
—
PnL
-$3.96
Record
15%
118-669 (787)