Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
No 75%
$1.2K
-$345.26
Smart Money Signal
17 of 24 top traders (71%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GenaTheBondKilIer | Noavg 84.2¢ | $1.2K | $563 | -$204.79 | 51% 528-511 (1039) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 86.6¢ | $534.77 | $314.01 | -$54.66 | 35% 16955-31322 (48277) |
NO northdrawer | Noavg 79.3¢ | $106.99 | $135 | +$28.01 | 61% 13866-8714 (22580) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98.9¢ | $69.25 | $69.99 | -$10.93 | 55% 25961-21246 (47207) |
 2B9S<$100 | Noavg 81.6¢ | $47.52 | $44 | -$25.52 | 18% 4056-19002 (23058) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 88.7¢ | $35.68 | $40 | +$3.59 | 53% 8926-7971 (16897) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | $29.41 | $30 | +$0 | 42% 5989-8172 (14161) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 89¢ | $8.9 | $10 | +$0 | 49% 9048-9543 (18591) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 91.4¢ | $9.14 | $10 | -$4.43 | 50% 7813-7864 (15677) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $114.33 | — | +$1.53 | 55% 5875-4772 (10647) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 35% 107-199 (306) |
E4 e46m3 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $128.78 | — | -$27.9 | 72% 12202-4798 (17000) |
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100 | Noavg 97.9¢ | — | — | -$8.88 | 49% 5502-5623 (11125) |
 LucerysCTR | Yes | $214.2 | — | -$22.13 | 79% 10621-2765 (13386) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 91.7¢ | — | — | -$0.84 | 63% 12954-7737 (20691) |
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $25 | — | -$0.99 | 30% 2189-5039 (7228) |
 ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | $30.8 | — | +$1.2 | 56% 15516-12124 (27640) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$3.61 | 46% 5501-6473 (11974) |
SP SPLPB<$100 | Noavg 82.8¢ | $16.12 | — | -$0.02 | 24% 666-2084 (2750) |
MI mildwindow27<$100 | Noavg 89.1¢ | $7 | — | -$2.31 | 49% 7454-7779 (15233) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.2¢ | $7.62 | — | -$7.62 | 28% 5957-15587 (21544) |
PL plainfolder<$100 | Noavg 98.8¢ | — | — | -$9.29 | 33% 3061-6298 (9359) |
HD HDGBCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | $3.16 | — | +$0.1 | 51% 201-195 (396) |
0X 0xd361529b833f79206cea905500ddb56574144ccd<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | — 4-2 (6) |
GenaTheBondKilIerInvested
$1,167.29
Value
$563
PnL
-$204.79
Record
51%
528-511 (1039)
Invested
$534.77
Value
$314.01
PnL
-$54.66
Record
35%
16955-31322 (48277)
Invested
$106.99
Value
$135
PnL
+$28.01
Record
61%
13866-8714 (22580)
balthazar<$100Invested
$69.25
Value
$69.99
PnL
-$10.93
Record
55%
25961-21246 (47207)
2B9S<$100Invested
$47.52
Value
$44
PnL
-$25.52
Record
18%
4056-19002 (23058)
Invested
$35.68
Value
$40
PnL
+$3.59
Record
53%
8926-7971 (16897)
Invested
$29.41
Value
$30
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
5989-8172 (14161)
Invested
$8.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
9048-9543 (18591)
Invested
$9.14
Value
$10
PnL
-$4.43
Record
50%
7813-7864 (15677)
Invested
$114.33
Value
—
PnL
+$1.53
Record
55%
5875-4772 (10647)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
35%
107-199 (306)
Invested
$128.78
Value
—
PnL
-$27.9
Record
72%
12202-4798 (17000)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$8.88
Record
49%
5502-5623 (11125)
LucerysCTRInvested
$214.2
Value
—
PnL
-$22.13
Record
79%
10621-2765 (13386)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$0.84
Record
63%
12954-7737 (20691)
Invested
$25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.99
Record
30%
2189-5039 (7228)
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100Invested
$30.8
Value
—
PnL
+$1.2
Record
56%
15516-12124 (27640)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$3.61
Record
46%
5501-6473 (11974)
Invested
$16.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
24%
666-2084 (2750)
Invested
$7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.31
Record
49%
7454-7779 (15233)
Invested
$7.62
Value
—
PnL
-$7.62
Record
28%
5957-15587 (21544)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$9.29
Record
33%
3061-6298 (9359)
Invested
$3.16
Value
—
PnL
+$0.1
Record
51%
201-195 (396)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
4-2 (6)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
GenaTheBondKilIer
No — $563
xtxpleasecallme
No — $314.01
northdrawer
No — $135
balthazar
No — $69.99
2B9S
No — $44
quietparcel
No — $40
godblessme2026
No — $30
god83743894
No — $10
smallreceipt
No — $10
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060
CTRYes — $0