Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
No 60%
$311.99
-$202.51
Smart Money Signal
11 of 20 top traders (55%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO god83743894 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $141.27 | $142 | +$0 | 49% 9048-9543 (18591) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | $39.22 | $40 | -$1.64 | 63% 12954-7737 (20691) |
PL plainfolder<$100 | Noavg 98.5¢ | $39.4 | $40 | -$9.76 | 33% 3061-6298 (9359) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $39.79 | $39.99 | -$6.47 | 55% 25961-21246 (47207) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $29.91 | $30 | -$4.91 | 50% 7813-7864 (15677) |
 2B9S<$100 | Noavg 90¢ | $20.53 | $20 | -$10.53 | 18% 4056-19002 (23058) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 35% 107-199 (306) |
E4 e46m3<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $76.75 | — | -$37.18 | 72% 12202-4798 (17000) |
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | -$10.2 | 49% 5502-5623 (11125) |
 Lucerys | Noavg 99.8¢ | $214.2 | — | -$34.37 | 79% 10621-2765 (13386) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.1¢ | $51.08 | — | -$25.58 | 35% 16955-31322 (48277) |
HA haveagoodday<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $10 | — | +$0 | 53% 3176-2843 (6019) |
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $25 | — | -$3.94 | 30% 2189-5039 (7228) |
QU quietparcelCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.5¢ | $0.2 | — | -$24.03 | 53% 8926-7971 (16897) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$4.08 | 46% 5501-6473 (11974) |
MI mildwindow27<$100 | Noavg 98.6¢ | — | — | -$6.09 | 49% 7454-7779 (15233) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 28% 5957-15587 (21544) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR | Yes | $111 | — | -$9.98 | 55% 5875-4772 (10647) |
 GenaTheBondKilIerCTR | Yesavg 5.1¢ | $175.67 | — | -$8.89 | 51% 528-511 (1039) |
0X 0xd361529b833f79206cea905500ddb56574144ccdCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | — 4-2 (6) |
Invested
$141.27
Value
$142
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
9048-9543 (18591)
Invested
$39.22
Value
$40
PnL
-$1.64
Record
63%
12954-7737 (20691)
Invested
$39.4
Value
$40
PnL
-$9.76
Record
33%
3061-6298 (9359)
balthazar<$100Invested
$39.79
Value
$39.99
PnL
-$6.47
Record
55%
25961-21246 (47207)
Invested
$29.91
Value
$30
PnL
-$4.91
Record
50%
7813-7864 (15677)
2B9S<$100Invested
$20.53
Value
$20
PnL
-$10.53
Record
18%
4056-19002 (23058)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
35%
107-199 (306)
Invested
$76.75
Value
—
PnL
-$37.18
Record
72%
12202-4798 (17000)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$10.2
Record
49%
5502-5623 (11125)
LucerysInvested
$214.2
Value
—
PnL
-$34.37
Record
79%
10621-2765 (13386)
Invested
$51.08
Value
—
PnL
-$25.58
Record
35%
16955-31322 (48277)
Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
3176-2843 (6019)
Invested
$25
Value
—
PnL
-$3.94
Record
30%
2189-5039 (7228)
Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$24.03
Record
53%
8926-7971 (16897)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$4.08
Record
46%
5501-6473 (11974)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$6.09
Record
49%
7454-7779 (15233)
Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
28%
5957-15587 (21544)
Invested
$111
Value
—
PnL
-$9.98
Record
55%
5875-4772 (10647)
GenaTheBondKilIerCTRInvested
$175.67
Value
—
PnL
-$8.89
Record
51%
528-511 (1039)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
4-2 (6)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
god83743894
No — $142
graynotebook19
No — $40
plainfolder
No — $40
balthazar
No — $39.99
smallreceipt
No — $30
2B9S
No — $20
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179
CTRYes — $0
e46m3
No — $0
0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033
No — $0
Lucerys
No — $0