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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved No. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

31

No 90%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$181.73

Smart Money Signal

No

26 of 31 top traders (84%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No26 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,475
Combined PnL-$100.76
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares184
Combined PnL-$80.97
No — 84%Yes — 16%
ME
merod
No

Invested

$337.29

Value

$339

PnL

-$54.79

Record

43%

2779-3618 (6397)

XT
xtxpleasecallme
No

Invested

$309.19

Value

$295.12

PnL

-$162.69

Record

35%

16955-31322 (48277)

CoinTrick
No

Invested

$119.57

Value

$119.69

PnL

+$0.12

Record

98%

3850-94 (3944)

12
123987456
No

Invested

$101.36

Value

$112

PnL

-$8.41

Record

43%

2040-2652 (4692)

GenaTheBondKilIer
No

Invested

$59.05

Value

$103.59

PnL

+$44.54

Record

51%

528-511 (1039)

AL
alex20011<$100
No

Invested

$69.91

Value

$79.41

PnL

-$4.07

Record

44%

3596-4661 (8257)

CI
cigarettes
No

Invested

$205.49

Value

$61.95

PnL

+$59.99

Record

56%

18370-14706 (33076)

Lucerys<$100
No

Invested

$52.38

Value

$55.6

PnL

+$3.22

Record

79%

10621-2765 (13386)

NO
northdrawer<$100
No

Invested

$47.42

Value

$53

PnL

+$0.68

Record

61%

13866-8714 (22580)

LI
lissartter<$100
No

Invested

$42.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$7.5

Record

42%

5348-7364 (12712)

balthazar<$100
No

Invested

$36.38

Value

$43.5

PnL

-$0.37

Record

55%

25961-21246 (47207)

KL
klli27<$100
No

Invested

$29.63

Value

$35.41

PnL

-$0.32

Record

30%

350-813 (1163)

ZE
zerone777<$100
No

Invested

$24.41

Value

$29.41

PnL

-$0.07

Record

39%

448-709 (1157)

LI
Likaseent<$100
No

Invested

$24.7

Value

$29.41

PnL

-$0.35

Record

28%

231-605 (836)

KA
kaxel78<$100
No

Invested

$23.54

Value

$28.36

PnL

-$0.07

Record

30%

320-759 (1079)

GR
graynotebook19<$100
No

Invested

$17.05

Value

$19

PnL

+$0

Record

63%

12954-7737 (20691)

MI
mildwindow27<$100
No

Invested

$7.9

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.24

Record

49%

7454-7779 (15233)

SM
smallreceipt<$100
No

Invested

$8.4

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.41

Record

50%

7813-7864 (15677)

0X
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100
No

Invested

$0.09

Value

$0.16

PnL

+$0.07

Record

35%

558-1046 (1604)

E4
e46m3
No

Invested

$156.76

Value

—

PnL

-$0.88

Record

72%

12202-4798 (17000)

WA
WarriorHCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$80

Value

—

PnL

-$0.96

Record

17%

1026-4959 (5985)

HA
haveagoodday<$100
No

Invested

$4.54

Value

—

PnL

+$7.24

Record

53%

3176-2843 (6019)

SP
SpringlyFawl<$100
No

Invested

$52

Value

—

PnL

-$0.48

Record

30%

2189-5039 (7228)

LP
lpgb<$100
No

Invested

$24

Value

—

PnL

-$0.99

Record

25%

181-542 (723)

0X
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$24

Value

—

PnL

-$1.68

Record

31%

1408-3193 (4601)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4e5592d1...5f9504
Slug
will-the-ornn-b200-index-be-between-6pt00-and-6pt50-on-october-31-2026-20260811191113942

Traders in this Market

ME

merod

No — $339

-$54.79
XT

xtxpleasecallme

No — $295.12

-$162.69

CoinTrick

No — $119.69

+$0.12
12

123987456

No — $112

-$8.41

GenaTheBondKilIer

No — $103.59

+$44.54
AL

alex20011

No — $79.41

-$4.07
CI

cigarettes

No — $61.95

+$59.99

Lucerys

No — $55.6

+$3.22
NO

northdrawer

No — $53

+$0.68
LI

lissartter

No — $50

+$7.5
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