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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved No. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

29

No 84%

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

-$75.68

Smart Money Signal

No

22 of 29 top traders (76%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No22 traders
Total Value$1.2K
Total Shares1,171
Combined PnL-$18.03
Yes7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares424
Combined PnL-$57.66
No — 76%Yes — 24%
SN
SnapElectionAvoider
No

Invested

$248.74

Value

$335.16

PnL

+$86.42

Record

50%

1220-1233 (2453)

XT
xtxpleasecallme
No

Invested

$163.84

Value

$154.46

PnL

-$86.89

Record

35%

16955-31322 (48277)

12
123987456
No

Invested

$110.06

Value

$110.5

PnL

-$18.1

Record

43%

2040-2652 (4692)

CI
cigarettes
No

Invested

$234.88

Value

$90.95

PnL

+$59.6

Record

56%

18370-14706 (33076)

AL
alex20011<$100
No

Invested

$79.06

Value

$79.41

PnL

-$12.9

Record

44%

3596-4661 (8257)

GR
graynotebook19<$100
No

Invested

$69.2

Value

$74.97

PnL

+$0

Record

63%

12954-7737 (20691)

Lucerys<$100
No

Invested

$54.36

Value

$55.6

PnL

+$1.25

Record

79%

10621-2765 (13386)

balthazar<$100
No

Invested

$43.54

Value

$43.74

PnL

-$7.06

Record

55%

25961-21246 (47207)

QU
quietparcel<$100
No

Invested

$42.79

Value

$43

PnL

-$1.62

Record

53%

8926-7971 (16897)

KL
klli27<$100
No

Invested

$35.19

Value

$35.41

PnL

-$5.69

Record

30%

350-813 (1163)

NO
northdrawer<$100
No

Invested

$27.61

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.52

Record

61%

13866-8714 (22580)

ZE
zerone777<$100
No

Invested

$29.26

Value

$29.41

PnL

-$4.76

Record

39%

448-709 (1157)

LI
Likaseent<$100
No

Invested

$29.26

Value

$29.41

PnL

-$4.76

Record

28%

231-605 (836)

KA
kaxel78<$100
No

Invested

$28.14

Value

$28.36

PnL

-$4.52

Record

30%

320-759 (1079)

GO
god83743894<$100
No

Invested

$19.72

Value

$20

PnL

-$8.48

Record

49%

9048-9543 (18591)

GO
godblessme2026<$100
No

Invested

$9.88

Value

$10

PnL

-$1.52

Record

42%

5989-8172 (14161)

0X
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100
No

Invested

$0.13

Value

$0.16

PnL

+$0.03

Record

35%

558-1046 (1604)

E4
e46m3CTR
Yes

Invested

$130.43

Value

—

PnL

-$35.08

Record

72%

12202-4798 (17000)

0X
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100
No

Invested

$5.16

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

1898-2621 (4519)

HA
haveagoodday<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$6.44

Record

53%

3176-2843 (6019)

SP
SpringlyFawlCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$3.19

Record

30%

2189-5039 (7228)

LP
lpgbCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$24

Value

—

PnL

-$3.88

Record

25%

181-542 (723)

MI
mildwindow27<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$1.54

Record

49%

7454-7779 (15233)

SM
smallreceipt<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$1.55

Record

50%

7813-7864 (15677)

ME
merodCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

2779-3618 (6397)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x38255e6d...6b383d
Slug
will-the-ornn-b200-index-be-between-5pt50-and-6pt00-on-october-31-2026-20260811191113941

Traders in this Market

SN

SnapElectionAvoider

No — $335.16

+$86.42
XT

xtxpleasecallme

No — $154.46

-$86.89
12

123987456

No — $110.5

-$18.1
CI

cigarettes

No — $90.95

+$59.6
AL

alex20011

No — $79.41

-$12.9
GR

graynotebook19

No — $74.97

+$0

Lucerys

No — $55.6

+$1.25

balthazar

No — $43.74

-$7.06
QU

quietparcel

No — $43

-$1.62
KL

klli27

No — $35.41

-$5.69
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