Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
No 87%
$550.15
-$175.93
Smart Money Signal
18 of 22 top traders (82%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 123987456 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $110.06 | $110.39 | -$18.15 | 43% 2040-2652 (4692) |
PL plainfolder<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $82.89 | $83 | -$6 | 33% 3061-6298 (9359) |
AL alex20011<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $79.23 | $79.41 | -$13.06 | 44% 3596-4661 (8257) |
 Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $55.55 | $55.6 | +$0.06 | 79% 10621-2765 (13386) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | Noavg 98.3¢ | $48.16 | $49 | -$2.1 | 61% 13866-8714 (22580) |
KL klli27<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $35.34 | $35.41 | -$5.83 | 30% 350-813 (1163) |
ZE zerone777<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $29.38 | $29.41 | -$4.87 | 39% 448-709 (1157) |
LI Likaseent<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $29.37 | $29.41 | -$4.86 | 28% 231-605 (836) |
KA kaxel78<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $28.3 | $28.36 | -$4.67 | 30% 320-759 (1079) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $19.94 | $20 | -$1.65 | 42% 5989-8172 (14161) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | $9.6 | $10 | +$0 | 63% 12954-7737 (20691) |
MI mildwindow27<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $9.98 | $10 | -$1.65 | 49% 7454-7779 (15233) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $9.97 | $10 | -$1.65 | 50% 7813-7864 (15677) |
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | $0.15 | $0.16 | +$0.01 | 35% 558-1046 (1604) |
E4 e46m3 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $173.31 | — | -$45 | 72% 12202-4798 (17000) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.3¢ | $1.97 | — | -$1.97 | 35% 16955-31322 (48277) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 95.5¢ | $97.08 | — | -$44.15 | 56% 18370-14706 (33076) |
HA haveagooddayCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.1¢ | $4.54 | — | -$8.5 | 53% 3176-2843 (6019) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | — | — | -$1.65 | 53% 8926-7971 (16897) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | -$8.78 | 49% 9048-9543 (18591) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.9¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 28% 5957-15587 (21544) |
0X 0xd361529b833f79206cea905500ddb56574144ccdCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | — 4-2 (6) |
Invested
$110.06
Value
$110.39
PnL
-$18.15
Record
43%
2040-2652 (4692)
Invested
$82.89
Value
$83
PnL
-$6
Record
33%
3061-6298 (9359)
Invested
$79.23
Value
$79.41
PnL
-$13.06
Record
44%
3596-4661 (8257)
Lucerys<$100Invested
$55.55
Value
$55.6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
79%
10621-2765 (13386)
Invested
$48.16
Value
$49
PnL
-$2.1
Record
61%
13866-8714 (22580)
Invested
$35.34
Value
$35.41
PnL
-$5.83
Record
30%
350-813 (1163)
Invested
$29.38
Value
$29.41
PnL
-$4.87
Record
39%
448-709 (1157)
Invested
$29.37
Value
$29.41
PnL
-$4.86
Record
28%
231-605 (836)
Invested
$28.3
Value
$28.36
PnL
-$4.67
Record
30%
320-759 (1079)
Invested
$19.94
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.65
Record
42%
5989-8172 (14161)
Invested
$9.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
12954-7737 (20691)
Invested
$9.98
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.65
Record
49%
7454-7779 (15233)
Invested
$9.97
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.65
Record
50%
7813-7864 (15677)
Invested
$0.15
Value
$0.16
PnL
+$0.01
Record
35%
558-1046 (1604)
Invested
$173.31
Value
—
PnL
-$45
Record
72%
12202-4798 (17000)
Invested
$1.97
Value
—
PnL
-$1.97
Record
35%
16955-31322 (48277)
Invested
$97.08
Value
—
PnL
-$44.15
Record
56%
18370-14706 (33076)
Invested
$4.54
Value
—
PnL
-$8.5
Record
53%
3176-2843 (6019)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
53%
8926-7971 (16897)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$8.78
Record
49%
9048-9543 (18591)
Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
28%
5957-15587 (21544)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
4-2 (6)