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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved Yes. 37% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

38

Yes 32%

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

$897.3

Smart Money Signal

Yes

14 of 38 top traders (37%)24 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes14 traders

Total Value$2.2K

Total Shares2,152

Combined PnL+$235.42

No24 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,069

Combined PnL+$661.88

Yes — 37%No — 63%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CoinTrick	Yesavg 99.9¢	$854.71	$855.66	+$0.95	98% 3850-94 (3944)
GenaTheBondKilIer	Yesavg 60¢	$349.27	$582.47	+$233.2	51% 528-511 (1039)
XT xtxpleasecallme	Yesavg 69.2¢	$536.97	$475.72	-$301.45	35% 16955-31322 (48277)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yesavg 70¢	$115.11	$164.42	+$49.31	28% 5957-15587 (21544)
WA WarriorH	Yesavg 92¢	$668.82	$40	-$23.77	17% 1026-4959 (5985)
LornaPredicts<$100	Yesavg 74¢	$27.4	$20	-$27.4	21% 2284-8698 (10982)
Istaroth<$100	Yesavg 95.8¢	$13.32	$13.27	-$0.02	17% 402-1972 (2374)
SP SPLPB	Yesavg 89¢	$117.84	$0	-$15.1	24% 666-2084 (2750)
E4 e46m3<$100	Yesavg 16.7¢	$87.79	—	+$167.95	72% 12202-4798 (17000)
balthazarCTR<$100	Noavg 17¢	$7.44	—	+$28.86	55% 25961-21246 (47207)
LucerysCTR<$100	Noavg 8¢	$3.53	—	+$54.5	79% 10621-2765 (13386)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Noavg 22.9¢	$12.91	—	-$12.91	56% 18370-14706 (33076)
AL alex20011CTR<$100	Noavg 14.9¢	$11.79	—	+$54.38	44% 3596-4661 (8257)
KA kaxel78CTR<$100	Noavg 18¢	$5.1	—	+$18.53	30% 320-759 (1079)
ZE zerone777CTR<$100	Noavg 18¢	$5.29	—	+$19.21	39% 448-709 (1157)
NO northdrawerCTR<$100	Noavg 31.5¢	$6.06	—	+$4.41	61% 13866-8714 (22580)
LI LikaseentCTR<$100	Noavg 18¢	$5.29	—	+$19.21	28% 231-605 (836)
VE VerilyWinninglyCTR<$100	Noavg 19¢	$20.74	—	-$1.34	17% 221-1066 (1287)
HA haveagooddayCTR<$100	Noavg 34¢	$54.51	—	+$23.98	53% 3176-2843 (6019)
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100	No	$43.17	—	-$5.8	30% 2189-5039 (7228)
KL klli27CTR<$100	Noavg 17.5¢	$6.19	—	+$23.31	30% 350-813 (1163)
12 123987456CTR<$100	Noavg 13¢	$14.32	—	+$77.49	43% 2040-2652 (4692)
LP lpgbCTR	Noavg 15¢	$115.2	—	+$8.11	25% 181-542 (723)
ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100	Yesavg 30¢	$30	—	+$0	56% 15516-12124 (27640)
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR	Noavg 31¢	$114.62	—	+$13.98	31% 1408-3193 (4601)

Invested

$854.71

Value

$855.66

PnL

+$0.95

Record

98%

3850-94 (3944)

GenaTheBondKilIer

Invested

$349.27

Value

$582.47

PnL

+$233.2

Record

51%

528-511 (1039)

xtxpleasecallme

Invested

$536.97

Value

$475.72

PnL

-$301.45

Record

35%

16955-31322 (48277)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Invested

$115.11

Value

$164.42

PnL

+$49.31

Record

28%

5957-15587 (21544)

Invested

$668.82

Value

$40

PnL

-$23.77

Record

17%

1026-4959 (5985)

LornaPredicts<$100

Invested

$27.4

Value

$20

PnL

-$27.4

Record

21%

2284-8698 (10982)

Invested

$13.32

Value

$13.27

PnL

-$0.02

Record

17%

402-1972 (2374)

Invested

$117.84

Value

$0

PnL

-$15.1

Record

24%

666-2084 (2750)

Invested

$87.79

Value

—

PnL

+$167.95

Record

72%

12202-4798 (17000)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

$7.44

Value

—

PnL

+$28.86

Record

55%

25961-21246 (47207)

LucerysCTR<$100

Invested

$3.53

Value

—

PnL

+$54.5

Record

79%

10621-2765 (13386)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Invested

$12.91

Value

—

PnL

-$12.91

Record

56%

18370-14706 (33076)

alex20011CTR<$100

Invested

$11.79

Value

—

PnL

+$54.38

Record

44%

3596-4661 (8257)

kaxel78CTR<$100

Invested

$5.1

Value

—

PnL

+$18.53

Record

30%

320-759 (1079)

zerone777CTR<$100

Invested

$5.29

Value

—

PnL

+$19.21

Record

39%

448-709 (1157)

northdrawerCTR<$100

Invested

$6.06

Value

—

PnL

+$4.41

Record

61%

13866-8714 (22580)

LikaseentCTR<$100

Invested

$5.29

Value

—

PnL

+$19.21

Record

28%

231-605 (836)

VerilyWinninglyCTR<$100

Invested

$20.74

Value

—

PnL

-$1.34

Record

17%

221-1066 (1287)

haveagooddayCTR<$100

Invested

$54.51

Value

—

PnL

+$23.98

Record

53%

3176-2843 (6019)

SpringlyFawlCTR<$100

Invested

$43.17

Value

—

PnL

-$5.8

Record

30%

2189-5039 (7228)

Invested

$6.19

Value

—

PnL

+$23.31

Record

30%

350-813 (1163)

123987456CTR<$100

Invested

$14.32

Value

—

PnL

+$77.49

Record

43%

2040-2652 (4692)

Invested

$115.2

Value

—

PnL

+$8.11

Record

25%

181-542 (723)

ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100

Invested

$30

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

15516-12124 (27640)

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR

Invested

$114.62

Value

—

PnL

+$13.98

Record

31%

1408-3193 (4601)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

14 of 38 top traders (37%)24 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x055eec9d...2882de

Slug

will-the-ornn-b200-index-be-at-least-6pt50-on-october-31-2026-20260811191113943

Traders in this Market

CoinTrick

Yes — $855.66

GenaTheBondKilIer

Yes — $582.47

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $475.72

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $164.42

WarriorH

Yes — $40

LornaPredicts

Yes — $20

Istaroth

Yes — $13.27

SPLPB

Yes — $0

e46m3

Yes — $0

balthazar

No — $0

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