Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
No 78%
$2.6K
-$339.26
Smart Money Signal
20 of 27 top traders (74%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 52.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.0K | -$346.29 | 35% 16955-31322 (48277) |
 GenaTheBondKilIer | Noavg 54.1¢ | $645.71 | $415.28 | -$22.91 | 51% 528-511 (1039) |
 2B9S | Noavg 59.7¢ | $334.74 | $369.46 | -$9.77 | 18% 4056-19002 (23058) |
 balthazar | Noavg 88.1¢ | $301.99 | $342.88 | +$8.97 | 55% 25961-21246 (47207) |
 CoinTrick<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $78.07 | $78.15 | +$0.08 | 98% 3850-94 (3944) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 44.5¢ | $30.16 | $67.84 | +$60.57 | 60% 7180-4743 (11923) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 32¢ | $16 | $50 | +$0 | 50% 7813-7864 (15677) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | Noavg 61.4¢ | $28.57 | $46.52 | +$34.25 | 61% 13866-8714 (22580) |
GR graynotebook19<$100 | Noavg 72¢ | $28.8 | $40 | +$0 | 63% 12954-7737 (20691) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | $28 | $40 | +$12 | 49% 9048-9543 (18591) |
 Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 65.5¢ | $41 | $40 | -$0.15 | 17% 402-1972 (2374) |
LI lissartter<$100 | Noavg 32¢ | $9.59 | $29.99 | +$20.4 | 42% 5348-7364 (12712) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 40¢ | $8 | $20 | +$12 | 56% 18370-14706 (33076) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 41.7¢ | $73.27 | — | -$79.92 | 28% 5957-15587 (21544) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 54¢ | $5.4 | $10 | +$8.55 | 42% 5989-8172 (14161) |
 ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Noavg 71¢ | $184.99 | $0 | -$55.7 | 56% 15516-12124 (27640) |
E4 e46m3 | Noavg 83¢ | $135.32 | — | +$43.66 | 72% 12202-4798 (17000) |
0X 0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100 | Noavg 82¢ | — | — | +$9.89 | 49% 5502-5623 (11125) |
 LucerysCTR | Yes | $137.6 | — | +$13.17 | 79% 10621-2765 (13386) |
WA WarriorHCTR | Yesavg 54¢ | $248.51 | — | -$3.84 | 17% 1026-4959 (5985) |
VE VerilyWinningly<$100 | Noavg 76¢ | $70 | — | -$0.35 | 17% 221-1066 (1287) |
SP SpringlyFawl | Noavg 76¢ | $199.81 | — | +$13.77 | 30% 2189-5039 (7228) |
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100 | Yes | $30 | — | -$15.35 | 31% 1408-3193 (4601) |
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR | Yesavg 25.4¢ | $227.45 | — | -$227.45 | 50% 1220-1233 (2453) |
CU CustomTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 42¢ | $21 | — | -$5.98 | 15% 118-669 (787) |
Invested
$1,098.99
Value
$1.0K
PnL
-$346.29
Record
35%
16955-31322 (48277)
GenaTheBondKilIerInvested
$645.71
Value
$415.28
PnL
-$22.91
Record
51%
528-511 (1039)
2B9SInvested
$334.74
Value
$369.46
PnL
-$9.77
Record
18%
4056-19002 (23058)
balthazarInvested
$301.99
Value
$342.88
PnL
+$8.97
Record
55%
25961-21246 (47207)
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$78.07
Value
$78.15
PnL
+$0.08
Record
98%
3850-94 (3944)
Invested
$30.16
Value
$67.84
PnL
+$60.57
Record
60%
7180-4743 (11923)
Invested
$16
Value
$50
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
7813-7864 (15677)
Invested
$28.57
Value
$46.52
PnL
+$34.25
Record
61%
13866-8714 (22580)
Invested
$28.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
12954-7737 (20691)
Invested
$28
Value
$40
PnL
+$12
Record
49%
9048-9543 (18591)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$41
Value
$40
PnL
-$0.15
Record
17%
402-1972 (2374)
Invested
$9.59
Value
$29.99
PnL
+$20.4
Record
42%
5348-7364 (12712)
Invested
$8
Value
$20
PnL
+$12
Record
56%
18370-14706 (33076)
Invested
$73.27
Value
—
PnL
-$79.92
Record
28%
5957-15587 (21544)
Invested
$5.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$8.55
Record
42%
5989-8172 (14161)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyInvested
$184.99
Value
$0
PnL
-$55.7
Record
56%
15516-12124 (27640)
Invested
$135.32
Value
—
PnL
+$43.66
Record
72%
12202-4798 (17000)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$9.89
Record
49%
5502-5623 (11125)
LucerysCTRInvested
$137.6
Value
—
PnL
+$13.17
Record
79%
10621-2765 (13386)
Invested
$248.51
Value
—
PnL
-$3.84
Record
17%
1026-4959 (5985)
Invested
$70
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
17%
221-1066 (1287)
Invested
$199.81
Value
—
PnL
+$13.77
Record
30%
2189-5039 (7228)
Invested
$30
Value
—
PnL
-$15.35
Record
31%
1408-3193 (4601)
Invested
$227.45
Value
—
PnL
-$227.45
Record
50%
1220-1233 (2453)
Invested
$21
Value
—
PnL
-$5.98
Record
15%
118-669 (787)