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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?

Resolved No. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

22

No 94%

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

-$399.07

Smart Money Signal

No

18 of 22 top traders (82%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No18 traders
Total Value$1.2K
Total Shares1,219
Combined PnL-$393.71
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares149
Combined PnL-$5.36
No — 82%Yes — 18%
GenaTheBondKilIer
No

Invested

$996.2

Value

$367.18

PnL

-$174.62

Record

51%

528-511 (1039)

GR
graynotebook19
No

Invested

$174.79

Value

$175

PnL

+$0

Record

63%

12954-7737 (20691)

QW
qwen300.fund
No

Invested

$144.85

Value

$166.9

PnL

-$7.18

Record

60%

7180-4743 (11923)

XT
xtxpleasecallme
No

Invested

$126.81

Value

$121.39

PnL

-$55.49

Record

35%

16955-31322 (48277)

DE
dedidanc<$100
No

Invested

$74.64

Value

$85.89

PnL

+$11.25

Record

57%

109-82 (191)

balthazar<$100
No

Invested

$75.78

Value

$78.46

PnL

-$45.85

Record

55%

25961-21246 (47207)

GO
godblessme2026<$100
No

Invested

$69.06

Value

$70

PnL

-$6.59

Record

42%

5989-8172 (14161)

NO
northdrawer<$100
No

Invested

$49.85

Value

$50

PnL

-$16.19

Record

61%

13866-8714 (22580)

SP
SpringlyFawl<$100
No

Invested

$43.2

Value

$24.04

PnL

-$6.42

Record

30%

2189-5039 (7228)

CI
cigarettes<$100
No

Invested

$39.48

Value

$20

PnL

+$7.19

Record

56%

18370-14706 (33076)

QU
quietparcel<$100
No

Invested

$19.47

Value

$20

PnL

-$6.63

Record

53%

8926-7971 (16897)

0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100
No

Invested

$22.1

Value

$13.05

PnL

-$15.59

Record

28%

5957-15587 (21544)

SM
smallreceipt<$100
No

Invested

$9.76

Value

$10

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

7813-7864 (15677)

Istaroth<$100
No

Invested

$10.01

Value

$10

PnL

-$2.61

Record

17%

402-1972 (2374)

GO
god83743894<$100
No

Invested

$6.89

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.11

Record

49%

9048-9543 (18591)

E4
e46m3
No

Invested

$223.48

Value

—

PnL

-$38.62

Record

72%

12202-4798 (17000)

0X
0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$11.68

Record

49%

5502-5623 (11125)

Lucerys
No

Invested

$165.88

Value

—

PnL

-$24.8

Record

79%

10621-2765 (13386)

WA
WarriorHCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$20.17

Value

—

PnL

-$3.32

Record

17%

1026-4959 (5985)

0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

5875-4772 (10647)

2B9SCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$2.04

Value

—

PnL

-$2.04

Record

18%

4056-19002 (23058)

0X
0xd361529b833f79206cea905500ddb56574144ccdCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

—

4-2 (6)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x6ceae472...cd159d
Slug
will-the-ornn-a100-index-be-between-0pt50-and-0pt75-on-october-31-2026-20260811191114213

Traders in this Market

GenaTheBondKilIer

No — $367.18

-$174.62
GR

graynotebook19

No — $175

+$0
QW

qwen300.fund

No — $166.9

-$7.18
XT

xtxpleasecallme

No — $121.39

-$55.49
DE

dedidanc

No — $85.89

+$11.25

balthazar

No — $78.46

-$45.85
GO

godblessme2026

No — $70

-$6.59
NO

northdrawer

No — $50

-$16.19
SP

SpringlyFawl

No — $24.04

-$6.42
CI

cigarettes

No — $20

+$7.19
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