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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the next Gemini model family be named Gemini Xenon?

Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

No 50%

Total Value

$455.02

Combined PnL

-$11.14

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No6 traders

Total Value$455.02

Total Shares455

Combined PnL-$8.41

Yes4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares73

Combined PnL-$2.73

No — 60%Yes — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CI cigarettes	Noavg 99.9¢	$299.64	$300	+$0.36	53% 6319-5588 (11907)
XT xtxpleasecallme	Noavg 99.9¢	$152.2	$150	-$1.6	40% 3363-5001 (8364)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$5.01	$5.02	+$0.01	48% 622-673 (1295)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yesavg 2.9¢	$41.18	—	-$1.77	46% 4888-5757 (10645)
0X 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100	Yesavg 2.9¢	$0.51	—	-$0.51	6% 6-92 (98)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Yesavg 2.9¢	$24.58	—	-$0.31	32% 564-1206 (1770)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179<$100	Noavg 98.8¢	$95.04	—	-$1.63	18% 824-3672 (4496)
QW qwen300.fund	Noavg 99.9¢	$192.02	—	-$5.45	30% 3006-7182 (10188)
AN anothercoinCTR<$100	Yesavg 2.9¢	$0.15	—	-$0.14	38% 1423-2322 (3745)
AH aHjCz<$100	Noavg 98¢	$10.49	—	-$0.1	25% 1257-3742 (4999)

Invested

$299.64

Value

$300

PnL

+$0.36

Record

53%

6319-5588 (11907)

xtxpleasecallme

Invested

$152.2

Value

$150

PnL

-$1.6

Record

40%

3363-5001 (8364)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100

Invested

$5.01

Value

$5.02

PnL

+$0.01

Record

48%

622-673 (1295)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

$41.18

Value

—

PnL

-$1.77

Record

46%

4888-5757 (10645)

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100

Invested

$0.51

Value

—

PnL

-$0.51

Record

6%

6-92 (98)

luciebotCTR<$100

Invested

$24.58

Value

—

PnL

-$0.31

Record

32%

564-1206 (1770)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179<$100

Invested

$95.04

Value

—

PnL

-$1.63

Record

18%

824-3672 (4496)

Invested

$192.02

Value

—

PnL

-$5.45

Record

30%

3006-7182 (10188)

anothercoinCTR<$100

Invested

$0.15

Value

—

PnL

-$0.14

Record

38%

1423-2322 (3745)

Invested

$10.49

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

25%

1257-3742 (4999)

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc74842ef...66303e

Slug

will-the-next-gemini-model-family-be-named-gemini-xenon

Traders in this Market

cigarettes

No — $300

xtxpleasecallme

No — $150

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $5.02

balthazar

Yes — $0

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F

Yes — $0

luciebot

Yes — $0

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

No — $0

qwen300.fund

No — $0

anothercoin

Yes — $0

aHjCz

No — $0

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