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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the next Gemini model family be named Gemini Barium?

Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Yes 67%

Total Value

$53.94

Combined PnL

-$24.56

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders
Total Value$53.94
Total Shares54
Combined PnL-$5.27
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares217
Combined PnL-$19.29
No — 50%Yes — 50%
CI
cigarettes<$100
No

Invested

$48.3

Value

$48.92

PnL

+$0.62

Record

53%

6319-5588 (11907)

0X
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100
No

Invested

$5.01

Value

$5.02

PnL

+$0.01

Record

48%

560-595 (1155)

XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$29.05

Value

—

PnL

-$16.55

Record

40%

3363-5001 (8364)

balthazarCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$36.68

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

46%

4888-5757 (10645)

0X
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.51

Value

—

PnL

-$0.51

Record

6%

6-92 (98)

LU
luciebotCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$24.58

Value

—

PnL

-$0.31

Record

32%

564-1206 (1770)

0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179<$100
No

Invested

$93.74

Value

—

PnL

-$0.33

Record

18%

824-3672 (4496)

QW
qwen300.fund
No

Invested

$192.02

Value

—

PnL

-$5.46

Record

30%

3006-7182 (10188)

AN
anothercoinCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.15

Value

—

PnL

-$0.13

Record

38%

1423-2322 (3745)

AH
aHjCz<$100
No

Invested

$10.49

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

25%

1257-3742 (4999)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4cb77ddb...18517b
Slug
will-the-next-gemini-model-family-be-named-gemini-barium

Traders in this Market

CI

cigarettes

No — $48.92

+$0.62
0X

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

No — $5.02

+$0.01
XT

xtxpleasecallme

CTR

Yes — $0

-$16.55

balthazar

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.8
0X

0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.51
LU

luciebot

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.31
0X

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

No — $0

-$0.33
QW

qwen300.fund

No — $0

-$5.46
AN

anothercoin

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.13
AH

aHjCz

No — $0

-$0.1
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