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No
balthazarCTR<$100YesNoYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
StarMasterCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 30, 2026?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0.01
Combined PnL
$58.97
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$0.01
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$69.07
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares56
Combined PnL-$10.1
No — 33%Yes — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HI hithitfar<$100 | Noavg 53¢ | $17.49 | $0.01 | -$2.15 | 57% 597-447 (1044) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | $0.1 | — | +$0 | 61% 21099-13436 (34535) |
0X 0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB<$100 | No | — | — | +$71.22 | 58% 106-78 (184) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16¢ | $3.04 | — | -$3.04 | 36% 15579-27522 (43101) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.18 | 18% 3803-17230 (21033) |
StarMasterCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21.5¢ | $6.88 | — | -$6.88 | 53% 1839-1620 (3459) |
HI
hithitfar<$100Invested
$17.49
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$2.15
Record
57%
597-447 (1044)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21099-13436 (34535)
0X
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$71.22
Record
58%
106-78 (184)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$3.04
Value
—
PnL
-$3.04
Record
36%
15579-27522 (43101)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.18
Record
18%
3803-17230 (21033)
StarMasterCTR<$100Invested
$6.88
Value
—
PnL
-$6.88
Record
53%
1839-1620 (3459)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x83793417...9640e3
Slug
will-the-nba-announce-an-expansion-team-in-las-vegas-by-october-30-2026