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balthazarCTR<$100YesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the nationwide ground stop still be in effect at 12 PM ET on Nov 14?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$43.98
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares884
Combined PnL-$43.98
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $9.75 | — | -$9.75 | 44% 5041-6482 (11523) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.4¢ | $16.16 | — | -$16.16 | 39% 3605-5672 (9277) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $13.34 | — | -$13.34 | 18% 853-3905 (4758) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 29% 3160-7827 (10987) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $3.53 | — | -$3.42 | 25% 1308-3933 (5241) |
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$9.75
Value
—
PnL
-$9.75
Record
44%
5041-6482 (11523)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$16.16
Value
—
PnL
-$16.16
Record
39%
3605-5672 (9277)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$13.34
Value
—
PnL
-$13.34
Record
18%
853-3905 (4758)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
29%
3160-7827 (10987)
AH
aHjCzCTR<$100Invested
$3.53
Value
—
PnL
-$3.42
Record
25%
1308-3933 (5241)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb5bce91a...f936bb
Slug
will-the-nationwide-ground-stop-still-be-in-effect-at-12-pm-et-on-nov-14