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balthazarNoYesYesYesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the nationwide ground stop be lifted Nov 14, 6–7 AM ET?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$42.61
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL-$10.08
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares687
Combined PnL-$32.52
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazar | Noavg 99¢ | $183.4 | — | -$7.9 | 44% 5041-6482 (11523) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.3¢ | $30.16 | — | -$17.88 | 39% 3605-5672 (9277) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $13.34 | — | -$13.34 | 18% 853-3905 (4758) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.3¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 29% 3160-7827 (10987) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | $65.66 | — | -$2.19 | 25% 1308-3933 (5241) |
balthazarInvested
$183.4
Value
—
PnL
-$7.9
Record
44%
5041-6482 (11523)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$30.16
Value
—
PnL
-$17.88
Record
39%
3605-5672 (9277)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$13.34
Value
—
PnL
-$13.34
Record
18%
853-3905 (4758)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
29%
3160-7827 (10987)
AH
aHjCz<$100Invested
$65.66
Value
—
PnL
-$2.19
Record
25%
1308-3933 (5241)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4cc44f70...7ad37e
Slug
will-the-nationwide-ground-stop-be-lifted-nov-14-67-am-et